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Category: Cuts

A challenging time for LAB as the negative impact of Osborne’s March 2012 budget appears to be waning

A challenging time for LAB as the negative impact of Osborne’s March 2012 budget appears to be waning

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Fewer people are blaming the CON-LD coalition for the cuts than at any time since the March 2012 budget. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2013 32 months after losing power LAB is still being blamed YouGov’s regular tracker “Who’s most to blame for current spending cuts?” is one I return to time and time again because I believe it might be a good pointer by the time we get to 2015. Today’s latest figures are refelected…

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Can the country get used to a long and slow squeeze?

Can the country get used to a long and slow squeeze?

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David Herdson on the politics of austerity Experts and others making New Year predictions are as much a tradition at the turning of the year as fireworks, soon-to-be-broken resolutions and loud but not entirely coherent renderings of Auld Lang Syne. Except where change – or at least, the clear opportunity for change – is scheduled, these predictions inevitably default to ‘much the same as last year’, and it’s almost certainly on that basis that both the government and opposition will…

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New Ipsos-MORI polling suggests that voters want benefits to go up with inflation – not capped as Osborne wants

New Ipsos-MORI polling suggests that voters want benefits to go up with inflation – not capped as Osborne wants

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59% tell Ipsos-MORI that benefits should rise with inflation not as proposed in autumn statement.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2012 69% tell Ipsos MORI that rich not doing enough towards helping the economy.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2012 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

Did Cameron and Osborne over-celebrate the end of double-dip?

Did Cameron and Osborne over-celebrate the end of double-dip?

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Did Cameron and Osborne over-celebrate the end of double-dip? Henry G Manson thinks they did.goo.gl/1tf5m twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 2, 2012 Henry G Manson on the politics of the GDP figures So eager were the Conservatives to trumpet the latest quarter’s economic growth figures that David Cameron almost fell foul of the rules preventing him from breaching the official publication time. The Prime Minister told Ed Miliband in a heated exchange at Prime Ministers Question Time a fortnight…

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Ed Miliband has to shake off the blame within two years or else Labour won’t win outright

Ed Miliband has to shake off the blame within two years or else Labour won’t win outright

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Tweet YouGov The time is starting to run out I make no apologies for returning to this subject once again but I regard the above “blame for the cuts” findings as more important than voting intention numbers or leader ratings in pointing to the outcome of the next general election. The Opinium poll for the Observer at the weekend had very similar numbers with just 29% of those sampled blaming the coalition. Today’s YouGov for the Sun has Labour back…

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Coalition “managing economy” ratings slump to record low

Coalition “managing economy” ratings slump to record low

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YouGov data: PB chart And another YouGov boost for Vince Cable Preferred Chancellor Total(change) Vince Cable 28% (+6) William Hague 15% (-1) Ken Clarke 9%(-) Phillip Hammond 2% (-1) Theresa May 2%(-) Nick Clegg 2%(-) Don’t know 43% (-4) The change figures shows the shifts in the past week to the question “which of the following do you think would make the best replacement Chancellor of the Exchequer?” Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB

George needs to choose between politics and economics?

George needs to choose between politics and economics?

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Will the growth figures mean an end to his split jobs? The two positive things for ministers about today’s third quarter of negative figures are that everybody is focused on the Olympics and because the commons is in recess there are not the usual Wednesday PMQs. But they won’t go away totally unnoticed and provide further ammunition for those who are questioning the government’s strategy and Osborne’s varied roles. An added challenge is that the “blame the last lot” rhetoric…

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Will protecting oldies’ perks stop the seepage to UKIP?

Will protecting oldies’ perks stop the seepage to UKIP?

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Is this why seniors are being favoured over the young? If the polls are to be believed the age segment which has shifted most to UKIP in recent months has been the oldies. Most days the News International survey by YouGov shows them supporting Farage’s party more than any other sector of the electorate – a trend that’s seen from just about all the pollsters. The oldies are the group which seems to have turned most against Dave in the…

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