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Category: CON Leadership

At last “deal of no deal” looks to take centre stage in the CON leadership contest

At last “deal of no deal” looks to take centre stage in the CON leadership contest

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Jeremy Hunt comes out against no deal Brexit in tomorrow's Tgraph: 'Trying to deliver no deal through a general election is not a solution. It is political suicide, that would delight Nigel Farage and probably put Jeremy Corbyn in No 10 by Christmas.' https://t.co/JLGNmZUkVA — Katy Balls (@katyballs) May 27, 2019 Hunt’s move could put BoJo on the spot The Telegraph is reporting what could prove to be a big move in the race to become TMay’s successor – he’s…

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Remembering the time Boris Johnson implied Tory defectors to Farage’s party are the kind of people who have sex with vacuum cleaners

Remembering the time Boris Johnson implied Tory defectors to Farage’s party are the kind of people who have sex with vacuum cleaners

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If as anticipated the Brexit party wins the European elections well ahead of the Conservatives then I expect the discussion will move towards who will be best placed to win the support of the Brexit Party’s voters and many will say Boris Johnson but that will be a mistake, here’s why. Nigel Farage would ruthlessly exploit the past comments of Boris, for example the pre referendum comments by Boris Johnson about ‘support[ing] a second referendum on Britain’s relationship with the…

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Tory MP declarations of leadership contest support should be treated with a huge pinch of salt

Tory MP declarations of leadership contest support should be treated with a huge pinch of salt

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange In 2005 DDavis had more public MPs supporters than actual voters Just a day after Theresa May’s announcement that she is stepping down as CON leader and prime minister and even though it is a bank holiday weekend the fight for the succession has begun. The first stage is the MP ballots to decide which two names will actually go to the membership in the postal election. Ahead of these we get…

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Johnson now evens to succeed TMay as PM

Johnson now evens to succeed TMay as PM

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange But will he suffer the Tory front-runner curse? This morning’s announcement by Mrs May that she is Stepping down did not come as a surprise and indeed there has been a lot of activity over her replacement over the past few weeks. On Betfair, the betting exchange where it is punters exchanging bets between themselves not the bookmakers who fix the odds, the former Foreign Secretary and Mayor of London is now…

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The bets continue to pile on BoJo for next CON leader and PM

The bets continue to pile on BoJo for next CON leader and PM

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange Although the timing of Theresa May’s departure as prime minister and CON leader has yet to be confirmed there’s little doubt that we are very close to a party leadership election which will be unique. For the first time party members will be deciding on who should be the next Prime Minister. It should be recalled that previous CON leadership contests which have gone to the membership have been whilst the party…

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With a CON leadership contest in the offing a look at what makes a good leader

With a CON leadership contest in the offing a look at what makes a good leader

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So the race is on, with likely as many contenders as at your average Grand National. Will it be a dyed in the wool Leaver? A born again or a politically convenient one? Blessed by the ERG? A Remainer? Cabinet member or backbencher? And will it even matter given the government’s tiny majority, at the DUP’s pleasure? Obsessed as they are by Brexit, Tory MPs and members have forgotten that a person’s stance on this perennially neuralgic issue is not…

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Boost for Johnson in the first CON membership poll since TMay announced her exit timetable

Boost for Johnson in the first CON membership poll since TMay announced her exit timetable

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? ? ? New YouGov poll of Tory members for @thetimes puts @BorisJohnson well out in front(Though he is also bottom choice for a sizeable group) – Johnson would prefer not to be frontrunner – Raab in strong position– Poor Hancock Loads more detail: https://t.co/HjTbrKZmS4 pic.twitter.com/MUQ5Ij1cS9 — Matt Chorley (@MattChorley) May 17, 2019 His biggest hurdle’s still getting through the MPs round Quick off the mark we now have the first YouGov poll of CON members following the news that…

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Following the firmer news on TMay’s exit Johnson declares that he’s running and moves to a 27% favourite in the betting

Following the firmer news on TMay’s exit Johnson declares that he’s running and moves to a 27% favourite in the betting

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange So the CON backbenchers who have been unhappy with Mrs May’s handling of the brexit process have sort of got their way and there is agreed process for how she will go and when. The 1922 Chair Graham Brady summed up things like this:- “We have agreed to meet to decide the timetable for the election of a new leader of the Conservative party as soon as the second reading has occurred…

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