80% OF bets placed on the Tory leadership contest since the final two have been announced are for Andrea Leadsom, according to Ladbrokes. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 8, 2016 Remember the ConHome "survey" last Monday had Leadsom 1% ahead of May https://t.co/NqVlvMlbUB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 8, 2016
The Tory leadership battle: A lot can happen over the next 8 weeks Until the 2001 CON leadership race the final decision was taken by MPs and there was no role for the members. So if the current battle had been held under pre-2001 rules Theresa May would now be moving into Downing Street. Under William Hague’s 1997-2001 leadership the party rules were changed so that members could be involved for the first time. Since then three leaders have been…
She’s got to be more convincing There’s such a contrast between the two women who’ll fight it out over the next eight weeks to become prime minister. May is well-known, very experienced and has started her campaign with a confidence that suggests that she’s been planning this career move for years. During the Cameron years she always maintained a detachment and was often accused of bring on maneuvers. Yet she’s never gone so far that she’s been open to the…
"My overall approach to Putin -absolutely tell him he needs to abide by internatioal law" PM candidate Leadsom to me https://t.co/lzTQcwzgBw — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) July 7, 2016 The similarities with the former Alaska Governor are striking argues Keiran Pedley and therefore Theresa May is surely Britain’s next Prime Minister. Video has emerged this afternoon of an interview with Conservative candidate for Prime Minister Andrea Leadsom and Sky News Political Editor Faisal Islam. Although it is not as bad as…
If May does become PM then she can expect a polling honeymoon There’s a new national phone poll out from Survation which has CON 36%, LAB 32%, UKIP 12% and LD 9%. The poll also asked favourability questions about the five who were the Tory leadership race until Tuesday evening. The figures are in the chart above and show Theresa May in a totally dominating position with Michael Gove trailing badly. We are, of course, in the first stage of…
Survation survey of 1000+ CON councillors finds May 46.2% Leadsom 21.8 Gove 5.1 DK/Refused 22.8 A statement from the May campaign .@TheresaMay2016 trying to kill off rumours her backers are planning vote for #Gove tomorrow to knock #Leadsom out pic.twitter.com/TwjWK3HgSK — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) July 6, 2016 More on Leadsom Attacks on Leadsom conitnue. Blasted for ‘extremist’ web posts on sex outside marriage and attacking gay adoption https://t.co/vrlhBVxniZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 6, 2016
The final decision is taken by the members in a postal ballot The CON race has moved on fast following tonight’s first round of MP voting and the decision of Crabb to drop out and back May. The next stage is Thursday’s second round of MP voting to decide the shortlist of two that will go to the members. Certainly the Home Secretary is in an enormously strong position coming out of the first round so well and now having…
UPDATE Crabbe pulls out and backs May "I asked for nothing, she offered nothing" says #StephenCrabb on meeting #TheresaMay to give #ToryLeadership support https://t.co/ln7vnZOxD1 — Sky News (@SkyNews) July 5, 2016