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Moggy moves to his highest betting level yet for next CON leader following negative reaction to BoJo’s Brexit speech

Moggy moves to his highest betting level yet for next CON leader following negative reaction to BoJo’s Brexit speech

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You can get better odds on JRM as next PM I’ve not bet on Moggy for next CON leader because I still don’t think that he’d get to the final membership ballot round of a leadership contest. As the chart show he’s now soared on the Betfair exchange. The other big question mark is whether there will be an early contest and that is far from clear especially given current CON poll ratings and TMay’s huge resilience. She is still…

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On the day of BoJo’s big Brexit speech the TMay successor betting edges further to an Etonian, but not the Foreign Secretary

On the day of BoJo’s big Brexit speech the TMay successor betting edges further to an Etonian, but not the Foreign Secretary

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Betdata.io Moggy is still dazzling the markets I had a thought before the Foreign Secretary’s big Brexit speech that there might be a case for putting a small amount on him on Betfair’s next Conservative leader market. Generally betting can respond to news coverage and clearly Mr Johnson is going to get a lot of that today. Only problem, looking at the chart, is that what betting movement there has been has not gone to Mr Johnson but to Mr…

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None of the Above takes 44% lead in new CON leadership poll

None of the Above takes 44% lead in new CON leadership poll

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With a new week opening and Mrs Msy still there at number 10 there is a new poll out in the Independent on who voters think should be her successor. The outcome is far from decisive for although Johnson has a lead he is 44% behind the number saying none of the above. This really reflects the situation we have known since July the 9th after Theresa May failed to retain the Conservative majority in the general election. Her situation…

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If not May, then who?

If not May, then who?

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Assessing the runners and riders of the next Tory leadership contest Correctly identifying the next Conservative leader is a notoriously tricky task. While the golden rule is to lay the favourite – something which can accumulate good profits over a prolonged period – it’s still quite a cautious strategy. The more ambitious, but much more difficult, one is to try to back the winner. That’s not to say that it’s impossible and now that the latest bout of speculation over…

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What LAB has not factored in is that TMay’s successor will get a huge polling boost and won’t surely be as bad

What LAB has not factored in is that TMay’s successor will get a huge polling boost and won’t surely be as bad

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Great news for the Tories from @StephenKB Team Corbyn is complacent about the polls & thinks that next time will be like last time https://t.co/XrhciDtzI7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 8, 2018 A new CON leader will be a very different proposition for Corbyn The New Statesman’s Stephen Bush has an excellent piece linked to above on how the red team is viewing their little polling hiccup. It is staggeringly complacent with some in the party, apparently, believing that because…

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Those from elite schools continue to dominate the betting to succeed state-educated Theresa

Those from elite schools continue to dominate the betting to succeed state-educated Theresa

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It is perhaps worth remembering that for a 40 year period, until David Cameron was elected, the Tories made a point of choosing as leaders those who were from more humble backgrounds. So general election winners Heath, Thatcher, and Major all went to state schools – the latter not even going to university. How things look so differently now as we contemplate who will succeed TMay who went to what is now a comprehensive near Oxford. Rees-Mogg and Johnson, first…

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Moggy ousts Jezza as next PM betting favourite

Moggy ousts Jezza as next PM betting favourite

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The father of 6 who has never changed a nappy now a 16% chance – Corbyn 14% Over the weekend there has been a big change on the next prime minister betting market on Betfair. The long-standing favourite since the general election, Mr Corbyn, has now slipped to second place behind Jacob Rees-Mogg who is attracting a lot of betting support at the moment for both the CON leadership and the next occupant of Number 10. Rees-Mogg has been the…

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The Sun once again leading the pack reporting negative developments on TMay’s future

The Sun once again leading the pack reporting negative developments on TMay’s future

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The Sun’s Trevor Newton Dunn reporting a potential dramatic development that would be a nail in the coffin for the beleaguered TMayhttps://t.co/QJKMDDS3Ox pic.twitter.com/6th5JbAIOe — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2018 The frequency of the paper’s reports should worry TMay’s backers Last week it will be recalled it was the Sun’s Harry Cole who in two exclusive reports highlighted that the number of CON MPs signing letters to 1992 Chief Graham Brady was on the increase and was perhaps almost there….

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