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Category: CON Leadership

Betting on just how many candidates are on the first ballot paper of the next Tory leadership election

Betting on just how many candidates are on the first ballot paper of the next Tory leadership election

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A mixture of ambition, ego, a low nomination threshold, and a very democratic voting system allows a lot of Tories to stand for leader. Since the current Tory leadership rules were first used in 2001 the highest number of candidates to be on the first ballot paper is five, in 2001 and 2016, so I can see why people may wish to back the 8/15 on there being fewer 7 candidates, however I think the value is betting on there…

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Mad Tory Friday part 2…..

Mad Tory Friday part 2…..

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2pm update: here are the MPs who have admitted sending letters to Graham Brady pic.twitter.com/go6jDLvB3s — Henry Zeffman (@hzeffman) November 16, 2018 Our second edition ?@EveningStandard?: Tory rebels claim they have the numbers to force a confidence motion – but do they? pic.twitter.com/MVApRNRYQR — George Osborne (@George_Osborne) November 16, 2018 Unless I misheard, Steve Baker just said on Sky the Brexiteers would "draw lots" to decide who their leadership candidate is. Draw lots. To determine the Prime Minister. This is…

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Moggsy’s TM confidence vote gamble could rebound into a confidence vote on himself

Moggsy’s TM confidence vote gamble could rebound into a confidence vote on himself

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He’ll look weak if not enough fellow CON MPs follow Yesterday the old Etonian father of six, Jacob Rees-Mogg, took a massive gamble when he had an impromptu press conference outside the palace of Westminster in which he declared his lack of confidence in the state-school educated Mrs May. He announced that he had sent a letter calling for a confidence vote and it looked as though the other 47 letters needed were either there or would be arriving quickly….

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A massive Westminster day ends with TMay still in place

A massive Westminster day ends with TMay still in place

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The “bloody difficult woman” will be difficult to shift Although I disagree with her on so many things you can but admire the way she is holding on and battling forward in spite of all the obstacles and setbacks. This was always going to be a very difficult period for the Prime Minister who took over shortly after the referendum in July 2016 never more so than today. Throughout she has made as her objective ensuring that the referendum outcome…

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If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

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After an extraordinary 24hrs at Westminster in which a total, as I write, of six ministers having resigned all the talk now is that Theresa May could soon be facing a confidence vote. For this to happen it requires 48 different CON MPs to write to the chairman of the 1922 committee, Graham Brady, asking for such a move to take place. Jacob Rees-Mogg has announced that he has sent a letter in and has indicated that he might support…

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Good news for TMay: Montgomerie’s backing suggests that the deal has a better chance of being agreed

Good news for TMay: Montgomerie’s backing suggests that the deal has a better chance of being agreed

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Founder of ConHome, @montie backs the deal. https://t.co/3T70zwhIoA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2018 That the founder ConHome, Tim Montgomerie, has Tweeted that he’s backing the deal suggests that this is going to be less of a struggle for TMay than many thought. A couple of years ago Newsnight described him as “the most famous conservative who is not an MP” and there’s little doubt that he still has a lot of influence particularly as he as always been…

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The Brexit deal is being put to the Cabinet one by one

The Brexit deal is being put to the Cabinet one by one

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But what are the chances of success? So the brexit process moves a step forward with a broad agreement that Theresa May now has to sell to her cabinet, then her party, and then the House of Commons. Each of these hurdles looks insurmountable but then Theresa May has got over many obstacles in the 18 months since she lost the party its majority and is determined enough to push this as hard as she is able. If Brexiteers like…

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Ladbrokes offering 50/1 that Cameron will be next Foreign Sec and 16/1 that he’ll return to the cabinet by end of 2019

Ladbrokes offering 50/1 that Cameron will be next Foreign Sec and 16/1 that he’ll return to the cabinet by end of 2019

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The ex-PM who took the Brexit referendum gamble said to want to make a return I’m not quite sure how we should take the reports first in the Sun and then in other media outlets about the former PM’s desires. The Standard reports: “..A friend of the 52-year-old suggested he would like to join the Cabinet after a new Tory leader succeeds Theresa May. The source told The Sun: “David is dedicated to public service and has often said he…

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