It would appear tax cuts, the NHS, don’t let Labour ruin it and vote Nigel and get Ed is the Tory strategy for 2015. COMMENT Like it or not, DC hit the spot this year in a way that EM didn't. UKIP is a vote for Labour line loud and clear. — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) October 1, 2014 Cameron doing well today…touching all the issues….and attempting to set the battle lines…Miliband will have to respond…. — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft)…
Told by a normally reliable source another Tory UKIP defection is imminent. Stand by your beds. — Iain Dale (@IainDale) September 29, 2014 Just taken the 33/1 and 20/1 on Davies and Henderson on the next Tory MP to defect pic.twitter.com/JxE6APLnTd — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 29, 2014 TSE Update on UKIP defection. Sources tell me it's not an MP. — Iain Dale (@IainDale) September 29, 2014
“A couple of days ago, after Andy Burnham’s LAB conference speech I emailed Henry to get his views on whether Burnham could replace EdM before GE2015. This is his response” – Mike Smithson Hi Mike, there’s a few questions to address before we get to whether Andy Burnham will replace Ed Miliband before the election. First of all when would Ed go? It would have to be in the next month or not at all. The new leader really needs…
Survation find that one in two Scot would gibe it their vote Details have been published this afternoon of a Survation phone poll in Scotland carried out in the immediate aftermath of the referendum defeat. The figures are in the chart above and show shares which I believe have the SNP at a new high in any poll. Clearly the high profile and the hugely energised electorate have given the party a huge boost. The numbers are a timely reminder…
Look at how Northern Ireland’s numbers were changed Reduce the number of Scottish MPs I love the wonderfully simple solution to the Scottish MPs question by JohnO on the previous thread:- “We have been here before. Until 1972 the former Northern Ireland Parliament at Stormont enjoyed full devo max powers. What was the messy, rough and ready, probably anomalous but characteristically ‘British’ answer to compensate the rest of the country? Simple. Just make the NI constituencies at Westminster far larger…
Nicola Sturgeon 1/3 favourite with William Hill http://t.co/orbZ1dFWfn to succeed Salmond as SNP keader. pic.twitter.com/S2LRjzaSlj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2014 After Alex Salmond’s not unexpected departure this afternoon following the YES defeat in the referendum the bookies have installed his depity, Nicola Sturgeon, as odds on favourite. Looking down the list of possibles from the bookies it is hard to see any alternative. But who knows? I thought that she had good referendum campaign and managed to avoid…
pic.twitter.com/FQ3EkyeDrY — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2014 BBC report on Salmond pic.twitter.com/Y4feUFJoeM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2014 You could have got 3/1 from Paddy Power on this during the night. In many ways this was the natural conclusion to his fight over the years. Salmond had his brilliant success at the Holyrood elections when the SNP achieved what no other party had ever done before – a majority in the Scottish Parliament. It was that election that…
The polling lessons of September 18th As I have been repeatedly saying over the past few weeks the referendum posed a massive challenge for the pollsters. A big aspect, featured in Marf’s carton this morning, were what became known as the “shy Noes” – those who opposed change but were often reluctant in the emotion-charged atmosphere of the election to say so. The other big uncertainty was the record turnout with groups of voters who’d never been to a polling…