For the 2nd month running Corbyn tops the @IpsosMORI leader ratings pic.twitter.com/NzkQ5A1JZ1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2016 Cameron has his 2nd worst month ever amongst CON voters in the Ipsos-MORI leader ratings pic.twitter.com/oCIHKtdjGD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2016
Hillary should finally start to gather momentum after Bernie’s last boost It’s a measure of how weak a candidate Hillary Clinton is that not only has she failed to swat away Bernie Sanders’ challenge for the nomination but three-fifths of the way through she’s still conceding ground to the septuagenarian socialist. Normally, by this stage in the race, one candidate is dominant and the money and coverage will have dried up for the rest. Instead, Sanders has won seven of…
Another grey man might be just the thing to pick up the pieces If asked for a role model, few aspiring politicians would opt for John Major. Unfashionable, uncharismatic, comprehensively battered at the 1997 election: why would they? Yet the travails of the 1992-7 parliament culminating in that electoral apocalypse overshadow what he achieved in his first 18 months: reuniting a party riven by Europe and re-establishing the Conservatives as economically competent, ideologically pragmatic and on the side of ordinary…
Ipsos-MORI chart of latest referendum phone poll showing remain with 8% lead pic.twitter.com/2nDahRcxE3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2016 By 48% to 44% those polled by Ipsos-MORI say Cameron should resign if the referendum results in a LEAVE vote pic.twitter.com/MW3dfZQpK2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2016 The pollster has changed its methodology which I will write about later
The ComRes press release states: Remain†leads “Leave†by seven points according to the latest ComRes poll for ITV News (fieldwork conducted over the weekend, before the events in Brussels). The seven point lead is the lowest recorded in a ComRes telephone poll since the General Election, however, it is in line with the eight point lead in the February ComRes / ITV News poll (although another ComRes poll for the Daily Mail had shown the Remain lead rising to…
New YouGov London Mayoral poll had Sadiq Khan maintaining 7% lead pic.twitter.com/XBx4DwFphO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 14, 2016 Excluding the don't knows the YouGov London Mayoral polls hasSadiq 45%Zac 36%A 9% lead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 14, 2016 This latest poll follows the Opinium survey for the Evening Standard last week that had Khan with a 5% lead on first preferences which rose to a 10% margin over Zac when second preferences were allocated. Both YouGov and Opinium…
Real Clear Politics scorecard at 0150 gmt pic.twitter.com/Imfdr1sces — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 9, 2016
Bloomfield (Lab defence) on Blackpool Result: Labour 450 (58% +13%), Conservative 150 (19% -1%), United Kingdom Independence Party 118 (15% -10%), Green Party 32 (4% -5%), Liberal Democrat 31 (4%, no candidate in 2015) Labour HOLD with a majority of 300 (39%) on a swing of 7% from Conservative to Labour Alderholt (Con defence) on East Dorset Result: Conservative 384 (47% -16%), Liberal Democrat 376 (46%, no candidate in 2015), Labour 49 (6%, no candidate in 2015) Conservative HOLD with…