Well done to Corbyn on his victory and to YouGov for getting another leadership election spot on
Now lets see if his party’s fortunes can improve
The Boundary Review: Round-up
Really useful interactive map on Boundary Commission proposals from Election Data – https://t.co/ZNADXqPE23 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 13, 2016 Thinking that God might be Jewish after all. Or at least have a Jewish sense of humour. #boundaryreview https://t.co/uwCqZz4qVc — David Herdson (@DavidHerdson) September 13, 2016 Jeremy Corbyn, Boris Johnson and George Osborne among MPs hit by electoral shakeup https://t.co/HIYeuTCVLu — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 13, 2016 Tory MPs join Labour in fight against boundary changes as more Con seats…
The curtain lifted a little this week on Labour’s civil war and it’s not pretty
Whoever wins in a month, the struggle will go on Power struggles are the nature of politics. Usually, the public gets to glimpse only a fraction of the battles waged behind closed doors in what were once smoke-filled rooms. Outsiders end up having to engage in their own form of Kremlinology to work out what’s really going on: piecing together patterns in offhand comments, unattributed press briefings and articles, planted Commons questions or unruly (or unusually quiet) supporters. The proliferation…
Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”
The challenger needs to change strategy This morning there’s been another effort by the Smith campaign to claim that “private polling” suggests that the battle is close and that he could win. This might or might not be right but until we see a proper selectorate poll showing something different the overwhelming narrative will be that that JC is heading to hang on to his job. There’s no point in the Smith campaign making assertions which are simply not believed…
Just focusing on states where Hillary Clinton has 10%+ poll leads she’s only 7 seats short in the electoral college
PoliticalWire How things have changed dramatically in just three weeks from the conventions With so much going on in the Labour party battle the fight for the White House has got sidelined. Things have moved very sharply away from Trump since the conventions and the challenge he now faces is enormous. As we all know this is about separate state battles and not the overall aggregate vote shares and the above map on the excellent Political Wire site shows the…
Local By-Election Results : UKIP & LAB gain and lose a seat from each other – LD revival continues
Beaver (Lab defence) on Ashford Result: United Kingdom Independence Party 373 (42% +11%), Labour 243 (27% -4%), Conservative 240 (27% unchanged), Green Party 31 (3%, no candidate in 2015) United Kingdom Independence Party GAIN from Labour with a majority of 130 (15%) on a swing of 7.5% from Labour to UKIP East Brighton (Lab defence) on Brighton and Hove Result: Labour 1,488 (58% +11%), Conservatives 514 (20% -3%), Green Party 286 (11% -9%), United Kingdom Independence Party 152 (6%, no…
According to Michael Crick Steven Woolfe has failed to get on the UKIP ballot
I hear Steven Woolfe has failed to be nominated for leader of Ukip. His form came in 20 minutes late, I'm told. — Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) July 31, 2016 This’ll will turn the betting on its head On seeing Crick’s Tweet I managed to lay as much was was available on Betfair. If this is indeed the case I’m £666 up on the afternoon. When the Crick Tweet came out Woolfe was a 72% chance on Betfair. Big question now…
Labour’s Parliamentary pain is not just bad for Labour, but for the country as a whole
Joff Wild on the divides in the main opposition party Today’s Daily Telegraph ran an intriguing piece about plans being hatched by some Labour MPs if, as expected, Jeremy Corbyn wins the party’s leadership election in September. According to the newspaper’s political correspondent Ben Riley-Smith, rebels are exploring the possibility of setting up a semi-independent party in the Commons that would have its own leader and front bench, and would aim to replace Corbyn’s Labour as the official opposition….