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Category: Coalition

UKIP: circling the plughole

UKIP: circling the plughole

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The problem is the leader – but could anyone else do better? Revolutions devouring their own creators is hardly a novelty but UKIP are giving a fascinating new take on an old theme. They were never the most disciplined of parties and perhaps that was, for some, part of their attraction. Even so, since their crowning glory with their success in the referendum, they’ve not been so much undisciplined but ungovernable. After Nigel Farage stepped down in September 2016, they’ve…

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Seat projection from today’s ICM poll has CON ahead on MPs even though behind on votes

Seat projection from today’s ICM poll has CON ahead on MPs even though behind on votes

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When’s the Corbyn Clique going to work out that the system now works against LAB? The latest ICM Guardian poll out and the figures – C40/LB41/LD7 – are included above in the seat projection from Martin Baxter’s Electoral Calculus. As can be seen that although the Conservatives are one point behind on votes this, according to the projection, will put them one ahead in terms of seats. This reflects a big trend that first was noticed at GE2015 when the…

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The restoration of hanging, corporal punishment & blue passports – the key post-Brexit priorities for Leave voters

The restoration of hanging, corporal punishment & blue passports – the key post-Brexit priorities for Leave voters

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What YouGov found earlier in the year The point that Professor John Curtice made yesterday about the big dividing politics British politics has become between social liberals and social conservatives is very much backed up by the above polling published by YouGov earlier in the year. All the options that the sample was offered are in the chart above and as can be seen hanging and corporal punishment are at the top of the list for the voters followed by…

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Let us salute the great survivor TMay – the “dead woman walking” who could still be there at the next general election

Let us salute the great survivor TMay – the “dead woman walking” who could still be there at the next general election

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Now the talk is of a 2021 exit We all remember the events June 9th the day after the general election as it became apparent that Theresa May’s huge gamble in going to the country earlier to get a big bigger majority was going to end in failure. Instead of increasing the overall number of Conservative MPs which would have helped her during this difficult period getting the Brexit bill through Mrs May found herself in a minority government. David…

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Why are the Eurosceptics not kicking up more of a fuss?

Why are the Eurosceptics not kicking up more of a fuss?

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May looks set for an easier ride The Conservative whips are doing their job well. Evening after evening, the government records consistent majorities in the teens or twenties as it protects its Brexit Bill unamended through the Commons. More innovatively, we saw this morning a flurry of tweets and statements from Tory MPs and ministers lauding Theresa May for her tough diplomacy in delivering a good interim Brexit deal. That helped set the news agenda. To some extent, there was…

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CON loses another seat to LDs in latest Local By-Elections

CON loses another seat to LDs in latest Local By-Elections

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Newport on North Devon (Con defence) Result: Con 373 (37% -3% on last time), Lab 83 (8%, no candidate last time) Lib Dem 390 (39% +7% on last time), Green 159 (16% -12% on last time) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 17 (2%) on a swing of 5% from Con to Lib Dem Highway on Enfield (Lab defence) Result: Con 620 (27% +8% on last time), Lab 1,619 (70% +23% on last time), Green 79 (3%…

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Local By-Election Review : November 17th 2017

Local By-Election Review : November 17th 2017

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Kirkley on Waveney (Lab defence) Result: Con 217 (28% +7% on last time), Lab 374 (48% +12% on last time), Lib Dem 84 (11% no candidate last time), UKIP 78 (10% -10% on last time), Green 30 (4% -5% on last time) (No Independent candidate this time -15%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 157 (20%) on a swing of 2.5% from Con to Lab St. Margaret’s on Waveney (Lab defence) Result: Con 487 (42% +12% on last time), Lab…

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