Browsed by
Category: Coalition

FBI officers in Florida make pre-dawn raid to arrest Trump associate Roger Stone

FBI officers in Florida make pre-dawn raid to arrest Trump associate Roger Stone

Comments 0 Comment

“FBI. Open the door.” Watch exclusive CNN footage of the FBI arresting longtime Trump associate Roger Stone. Stone has been indicted by a grand jury on charges brought by special counsel Robert Mueller. https://t.co/IWQToxEDhG pic.twitter.com/qXDtpL8pjN — New Day (@NewDay) January 25, 2019 This is all getting very close to the President The big news this lunchtime which could have big implications for WH2020 and Donald Trump is that his long-standing associate, Roger Stone, has been arrested by the FBI in…

Read More Read More

It’s time for the Tories to pick a candidate for Buckingham

It’s time for the Tories to pick a candidate for Buckingham

Comments 0 Comment

Bercow needs to be eased out, one way or another Goodwill is the oil which lubricates the British constitution. The rules of parliament have been inherited from a time when governing was a gentlemen’s business and was expected to be carried out by gentlemen acting as gentlemen. Self-restraint and the awareness of when it becomes inappropriate to keep pushing a case are an essential aspect to enabling the system to work. Parliament is frequently criticised for being overly adversarial –…

Read More Read More

Trump’s Shutdown: Who blinks, who loses?

Trump’s Shutdown: Who blinks, who loses?

Comments 0 Comment

How long can neither side budge with 400,000 federal employees furloughed? Thirteen months to the first elections in the primary campaigns for next year’s US presidential vote might seem a long way off when so much can and will happen in the UK over the next thirteen weeks, never mind months. That, however, is because Brexit is exceptional. Lifting our eyes a little, the partial federal shutdown resulting from the stalemate between Trump and Congress over funding for his Wall…

Read More Read More

Last night’s confidence vote points to a pathway to the leadership for Johnson

Last night’s confidence vote points to a pathway to the leadership for Johnson

Comments 0 Comment

If the 117 went for him he’d make the membership ballot One of the big question marks over Boris’ leadership hopes has been whether he’d be able to secure the support of enough fellow MPs in the first rounds of voting to be able to secure a place in the final two names that go to the membership. The former mayor and ex-Foreign Secretary who has just had a haircut has never had a sizeable base amongst CON MPs who…

Read More Read More

As Trump’s legal troubles mount punters now make it a 34% chance that he’ll win WH2020

As Trump’s legal troubles mount punters now make it a 34% chance that he’ll win WH2020

Comments 0 Comment

A good bet but which way? If it wasn’t for Brexit we’d be doing several threads a week about the US and particularly the prospects for Trump as the investigations appear to be getting closer. With the Mueller probe into possible collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russians during the 2016 campaign coming to a head it’s highly likely that we could see a lot of activity on Trump survival betting markets in the coming days and weeks. This…

Read More Read More

If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

Comments 0 Comment

After an extraordinary 24hrs at Westminster in which a total, as I write, of six ministers having resigned all the talk now is that Theresa May could soon be facing a confidence vote. For this to happen it requires 48 different CON MPs to write to the chairman of the 1922 committee, Graham Brady, asking for such a move to take place. Jacob Rees-Mogg has announced that he has sent a letter in and has indicated that he might support…

Read More Read More

Good news for TMay: Montgomerie’s backing suggests that the deal has a better chance of being agreed

Good news for TMay: Montgomerie’s backing suggests that the deal has a better chance of being agreed

Comments 0 Comment

Founder of ConHome, @montie backs the deal. https://t.co/3T70zwhIoA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2018 That the founder ConHome, Tim Montgomerie, has Tweeted that he’s backing the deal suggests that this is going to be less of a struggle for TMay than many thought. A couple of years ago Newsnight described him as “the most famous conservative who is not an MP” and there’s little doubt that he still has a lot of influence particularly as he as always been…

Read More Read More

With polls showing a sharply contrasting picture let’s look at the trend in real election with real voters

With polls showing a sharply contrasting picture let’s look at the trend in real election with real voters

Comments 0 Comment

Harry Hayfield’s 2018 Q3 review For all the talk of Labour advancing and the Conservatives getting stuck in the quagmire that is Brexit, the fact that in the third quarter of 2018 in the local by-elections there’s been such a tiny swing from Con to Lab really does show that the Westminster bubble is just that, a bubble. Perhaps this is why the national polls are showing anything from a Con lead of 6% to a Lab lead of 1%,…

Read More Read More