BBC We’ve now got all the regional results in England and Wales with Scotland to be finalised and the Northern Ireland county to take place in the morning. The numbers in the BBC table above speak for themselves. In a later post we’ll look in detail at how the final polls did against the outcome but it is clear that those pollsters that had LAB in the low or mid-20s haven’t come out of this well. Now I must work…
EAST MIDLANDS DECLARED Results so far: BXP: 21 (+21)LDM: 10 (+10)LAB: 7 (-6)GRN: 5 (+2)CON: 2 (-12)PLC: 1 (=)UKIP: 0 (-15) Changes w/ 2014 #EP2019 pic.twitter.com/NDcG4XlFiy — Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) May 26, 2019 South West, vote share: Brex: 36.7% (+36.7)LDem: 23.1% (+12.4)Grn: 18.1% (+7.0)Con: 8.7% (-20.2)Lab: 6.5% (-7.2)UKIP: 3.2% (-29.1)ChUK: 2.8% (+2.8) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) May 26, 2019 Yorkshire & Humber, vote share: Brex: 36.5% (+36.5)Lab: 16.3% (-13.0)LDem: 15.5% (+9.2)Grn: 13.0% (+5.1)Con: 7.2% (-12.0)UKIP: 4.4% (-26.7)York: 3.9% (+2.4)ChUK:…
A glimpse into the next four years (maybe) Jess Philips had been to Number Ten before but not like this. Not in front of the microphones. Not at the centre of attention. Not as Prime Minister. Yet Prime Minister she was, newly returned from the Palace where the king had asked her to form a government and she’d said yes. Of course she had: for the first time in over a decade, Britain had a clear majority government. For the…
Final table for a few hours. 132 councils with their 2016 remain %. Sorted by the increase in turnout yesterday compared to last euros. pic.twitter.com/kXxO1jhawa — Patrick Heneghan (@PJHeneghan) May 24, 2019 This is a very useful piece of work and will be invaluable on Sunday night when the results come in. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
LAB between 25% or just 13% and BRX ranges from 27% to 37% The final polls on the eve of the 2019 Euros look very confusing and it is hard to find a clear picture. The Tories range from 7% to 14% while the LDs are polling between 12% and 19%. Only one on the list had any fieldwork taking place today the rest were all closed yesterday thus not picking up any late swing which we know can happen…
2014 Euros polling – Wikipedia The others overstated UKIP lead by upto 7% With polls coming thick and fast at the moment the one big trend is that YouGov has been showing markedly better numbers for TBP and the LDs than just about all the others. At times like this it is useful to look at the record and what happened last time. The table above shows how well YouGov did in 2014 compared with the other firms and overstated…
So much is going on in UK politics at the moment that it is hard to recall that just a month ago the new Party formed by breakaway CON and LAB MPs, Change UK, was talking about it taking over the Lib Dems. From reports at the time it considered itself to be the powerful force and were treating Cable’s party as almost supplicants in any relationship. The new grouping didn’t contest the local elections on May 2nd but their…