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Category: Coalition

Bernie back as favourite for the Dem nomination

Bernie back as favourite for the Dem nomination

Washington Post article could be hurting Bloomberg The White House contender who was born three months before Pearl Harbour, Bernie Sanders, is back as the betting favourite for the nomination following a brief period when multi-billionaire, Mike Bloomberg, edged him out. The other big feature has been the collapse in the betting of ex-VP and failure in Iowa and New Hampshire, Jo Biden. This is despite the fact that in several current national polls the ex-VP is still up there….

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Sunak moves to the top Tory in the next PM betting

Sunak moves to the top Tory in the next PM betting

But Starmer is the clear favourite After today’s reshuffle the main betting movement has been on the next PM betting where the new Chancellor Sunak has replaced Javid as the top Tory. Javid, who is no longer a cabinet minister is now out to 30 with Gove being the second highest Tory. Interestingly the occupants of the main offices of state, Patel and Raab, are much further behind. In this market, of course, we should expect the Labour leader to…

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Rishi Sunak – the PB 200/1 tip to be next PM – gets the Chancellor’s job in Boris’s reshuffle

Rishi Sunak – the PB 200/1 tip to be next PM – gets the Chancellor’s job in Boris’s reshuffle

At the end of November Philip Thompson had a guest slot here suggesting that the MP who who took over William Hague’s old seat at Richmond in Yorkshire was a good bet to be the next PM. I was one of many PBers who got on at that price with Ladbrokes and have a clear financial interest in Sunak’s future, Well the big news from the reshuffle is that Javid was not ready to accept the terms for him to…

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Bloomberg moves upwards in the WH2020 Dem nomination betting

Bloomberg moves upwards in the WH2020 Dem nomination betting

The big development continues to be the growing betting support for multi-billionaire and former Mayor of New York, Michael Bloomberg, who is self funding his campaign to win the nomination and to beat Trump. He’s built up an organisation that totally dwarfs what the remaining contenders have been able to mount and is spending huge amounts particularly in the March 3rd “Super Tuesday” states that include California and Texas. One report says Bloomberg is spending $1m a day just on…

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Bernie heading for New Hampshire victory with Biden in single figures

Bernie heading for New Hampshire victory with Biden in single figures

At this stage none of the networks has been ready to call the New Hampshire primary but it’s looking as though this is going to go with the final polling. Bernie Sanders winning but with nothing like the margin that he had over Hillary Clinton in the same state 4 years ago. What’s clear is that 77 year old Sanders has been helped by the rise of Amy Klobuchar who was judged to have had by the the best TV…

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Amy Klobuchar edging up in New Hampshire ahead of tomorrow’s primary

Amy Klobuchar edging up in New Hampshire ahead of tomorrow’s primary

Now third in two latest polls on tomorrow’s primary So far in the race for the Democratic nomination the field has tended to split into two groups: the super young people represented by 38 year old Pete Buttigieg and the very old with Michael Bloomberg, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders who are all heading for their 80s. One person who has not really had a breakout moment is the Senator from Minnesota Amy klobuchar who is 59 who really needs…

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Whoever ends up winning Iowa the WH2020 Dem nomination battle is now framed as between Bernie and Buttigieg

Whoever ends up winning Iowa the WH2020 Dem nomination battle is now framed as between Bernie and Buttigieg

The big question mark is over Bloomberg Although the Iowa result has not yet been finalised and it might be a few days before we know, there’s little doubt that what happened on Monday will have a major impact on the race from here. We are already seeing this in polls for the New Hampshire Primary which takes place next Tuesday. It is a big ask to expect Pete to achieve victory in New Hampshire but some polls have him…

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A former Tory councillor becomes the first to declare for Jo Swinson’s old job as LD leader

A former Tory councillor becomes the first to declare for Jo Swinson’s old job as LD leader

She wants her party to be closer to LAB Unlike Labour the Lib Dems decided to postpone the election to replace Jo Swinson until after the May local elections and in the meantime Ed Davey and the Party president, the blogger Mark Pack, are acting as joint leaders. The political logic is clear: the party traditionally does well in local elections and doesn’t want to be distracted by a leadership election. Given that the starting gun won’t be fired until…

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