Welcome to PB’s holiday servicae I am now heading for a much needed to break in Spain and PB will not be operating a normal service. TSE has joined the guest editor team and will be looking after things. There will still be threads and TSE will be monitoring the polls. There will also be regular PB prediction polls like the one we had yesterday on Jeremy Hunt which, in as they used to say on Blue Peter, was prepared…
Should we find the reports a bit scary? There’s a new book out which reports that Dave is a frequent follower of “political betting websites” which he comes to for polling analysis. While PB is not mentioned specifically this is the only site that fits the bill. We already knew from the Kavanagh/Cowley book on the 2010 general election that this is one of his favourite sites and I have had it reported to me over the weekend from a…
Will Jeremy Hunt still be a cabinet minister in a month’s time? Yes – Hunt will still be in the cabinet on June 20th No – he will have left before then pollcode.compollcode.com7 free polls
CON 32%-2 LAB 41%+2 LD 11%+1 UKIP 7%-2 David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister Agree 26% (-3) Disagree 54% (+4) Net agree -28 (-7) Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party Agree 26% (+8) Disagree 45% (-4) Net agree -19 (+12 ) Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats Agree 20% (-2) Disagree 56% (+4) Net agree -36 (-6) I trust…
Is James Forsyth calling this right? The Speccies’s James Foryth: Ed Miliband as PM is no longer an absurd proposition but a distinct political possibility. bit.ly/KkUhe6 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 17, 2012 The Speccie’s political editor and one of the best connected journalists in the Westminster village makes the case tonight that PM Miliband is a distinct possibility. Is he right? Have a good night @MikeSmithsonOGH
YouGov The above is a list of all the post-general election findings to YouGov’s forced choice question which for years I have regarded as an equal if not better pointer to election outcomes than the standard voting intention polling. Its strength is that it combines party allegiance and views of the leaders with what people would most like to see happen. It is also a possible pointer to potential tactical voting. Unfortunately YouGov has only asked it twice this year…
Would Phillip Hammond be best placed to become leader&PM? These have been a bloody few weeks for David Cameron. One problem seems to have piled on another and his personal poll ratings and those of his party have plummeted. What if the narrative continues and there seem few signs of improvement? What if Labour’s double digit poll leads continue and the idea takes hold that the dream of a Tory majority simply isn’t going to happen and that the most…