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Category: Coalition

Just how low will the #PCC turnouts go?

Just how low will the #PCC turnouts go?

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On Wednesday you could have got 5/6 with Ladbrokes that #PCC turnout would have been lower than 20% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 16, 2012 PCC Elections: Electoral Commission say low turnout as low as 10 p/c in some areas and “a comedy of errors”! #PCC — Christine Elmer (@ChristineElmer) November 16, 2012 2 votes registered at a polling station in Wales for the #PCC elections ht.ly/fkDcy — Alistair Sloan (@alistair_sloan) November 16, 2012 Good link for #PCC election results:…

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LAB moves to 46 percent – 14 points ahead of the Tories and its best position for nearly a decade

LAB moves to 46 percent – 14 points ahead of the Tories and its best position for nearly a decade

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But all three leaders see ratings improvements New Ipsos-MORI telephone pollhas CON 32 (-1); LAB 46 (+3); LD (nc). So LAB takes a 14% lead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 15, 2012 The details from the latest MORI poll showing how all 3 leaders have seen marked net increases twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 15, 2012 Unlike cheapie online polls I regard the four phone surveys that we get each month as an event. The one out today is…

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Tory anti-wind farm campaigners have a long way to go winning CON voter support let alone the general public

Tory anti-wind farm campaigners have a long way to go winning CON voter support let alone the general public

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How the general public and CON voters specifically view wind farms. YouGov Oct 19 2012. See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2012 Shouldn’t Tories back their leader on renewable energy? On the eve of the Corby by-election a secretly filmed video has been made public showing that the CON MP, Chris Heaton-Harris, managing the Tory campaign was supporting the abortive candidature of the Telegraph’s James Delingpole. This is a hugely serious issue in any party and Heaton-Harris…

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The Tories are seeking to bribe several smaller parties to secure their 20 seat boundary bonus

The Tories are seeking to bribe several smaller parties to secure their 20 seat boundary bonus

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The Tories launch a multi-party effort to save their 20 seat boundary bonus, www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=53646 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 This could decide the general election Judging from press reports and other initiatives over the weekend the Tories have launched a multi-pronged effort to try to secure the new parliamentary seat boundaries which give them a 20 seat bonus and make the possibility of a majority that bit more possible. The first focus has been on their coalition…

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The Police Commissioner elections should add to LAB victories across the board on Thursday

The Police Commissioner elections should add to LAB victories across the board on Thursday

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LAB’s heading for huge wins in Thursday’s 3 by-election & the votes for the mayor of Bristol & 41 Police Commisioners twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 11, 2012 If it goes the way of national polling then then 26 of the 41 of the new commissioners will be Labour Thursday is a very big election day across England and Wales with the exception of London. As well as the Corby, Manchester Central and Cardiff S by-elections, there’s biggest mayoral…

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The defeat of Mitt Romney – now Newt Gingrich is getting the blame

The defeat of Mitt Romney – now Newt Gingrich is getting the blame

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Team Romney now blaming Newt Gingrich for the defeat. It was Newt who first played the Bain card. pwire.at/Rp7doy twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 9, 2012 But it was Romney who went negative first According to Fortune the Romney camapaign is now blaming Newt Gingrich for the defeat because he went big on attacking Mitt over Bain. The Romney campaign was well aware that Bain Capital would become a major issue in the general election. After all, the late…

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Henry G Manson assesses the implications for Labour of Clegg staying until 2015

Henry G Manson assesses the implications for Labour of Clegg staying until 2015

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Henry G Manson on the implications for Labour of Clegg staying until the general election. www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=53584 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 9, 2012 Any LAB-LD deal is dependent on Clegg going During this week’s Prime Minister’s Question Time Nick Clegg ruled himself as a future candidate for European Commissioner. The Lib Dem leader’s pro-European credentials were strong. He previously worked for Leon Brittan while he was a Commissioner and as an MEP for the East Midlands for five years….

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