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LAB leader prospect Tristram Hunt went to Cambridge which last had a PM 78 years ago pic.twitter.com/jlbRSHyABn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 21, 2013 Overnight I’ve put bets on the new shadow education secretary, Tristram Hunt, at 33/1 as next LAB leader. From what I can see he is only listed at Ladbrokes and PaddyPower both of whom have got him at 33/1. Hunt came to public prominence as a TV historian. He’s telegenic and, as you’d expect a good…

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Closing the gap with ComRes online LAB moves to 11 percent lead with Opinium/Observer Other points from ComRes In a forced choice between Labour and the Conservatives, Labour leads as the party most trusted to … Make your family better off: LAB lead 7% Get the cost of living down: LAB lead 9% Keep prices down generally: LAB lead 11% Protect people’s jobs: LAB lead 16% Keep gas and electricity prices down: LAB lead 20% The Conservatives lead as the…

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Dalston on Carlisle Result (Change on 2011 local election): Lib Dem 506 (37% +15%), Con 476 (35% -14%), Lab 186 (14% -7%), UKIP 167 (12% +4%), Green 27 (2%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative on a swing of 14.5% from Con to Lib Dem Westbourne on Chichester Result: Con 184 (41% -21%), UKIP 106 (24%), Green 85 (19%), Lib Dem 68 (15% -23%), Patria 3 (1%) Conservative HOLD on a swing of 22.5% from Con to UKIP Barnfield on Luton…

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Amongst all giving a voting intention LAB was 5% ahead See chart pic.twitter.com/8GuTYRRqlH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2013 All leaders see satisfactions ratings boost In the Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings all see net increase. Ed now has better net figures than Dave See pic.twitter.com/pxJrTbav30 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2013 EdM sees net 34% uplift in Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings amongst LAB voters See chart pic.twitter.com/hvZFhFYIEJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2013 Ipsos-MORI finds that of all the new…

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Eight years of decontamination have produced almost no serious change to the Tory brand http://t.co/FDqqmQ0KgA — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) October 17, 2013 What does this say about Dave’s decontamination project? Very interesting new YouGov polling out this morning for the Times on what voters think would be more or less likely to happen if the Tories won an overall majority. The views on immigration count against the Lib Dem while the view on tax cuts are helpful to them. Mike…

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How the public responded in poll just after Crick’s report Who the public thought was telling lies on Plebgate from Dec 2012 See table pic.twitter.com/RWH8PUeCKI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2013

LAB YouGov/Sun daily poll lead back up to 5%. It was 1% yesterday LAB+1, 39% CON-3, 34% UKIP+1,11% LD-1, 9%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 15, 2013 After yesterday’s YouGov daily poll which saw the Tories at their highest level since the March 2012 budget things are back to “normal” this morning. Looking at the detailed data today’s poll shows a more balanced sample with less need to scale up those demographic segments which varied from the target. Generally outliers are more likely…

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