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Category: Coalition

Labour’s Falkirk problems seem to be going over many voters` heads

Labour’s Falkirk problems seem to be going over many voters` heads

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Update: Labour lead at 5 – Latest YouGov/Sunday Times results 8th Nov – Con 34%, Lab 39%, LD 10%, UKIP 11%; APP -30 http://t.co/rJa0Q63eSh — YouGov (@YouGov) November 10, 2013 Today’s YouGov poll sees no change for either the Dave or Ed in the weekly well/badly ratings which many wrongly describe as approval ratings. On the specific issue of Ed Miliband’s handling of Falkirk 19‰ say he is doing well while 36% say badly. The biggest grouping, are, however, the…

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If “help to buy” boosts house prices it could be an election negative for the Tories

If “help to buy” boosts house prices it could be an election negative for the Tories

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Ipsos-MORI poll goes against conventional wisdom A new Ipsos MORI poll for Inside Housing has found nearly three times as many Britons disagree than agree that rising house prices are a good thing for the country. Just under a quarter (23%) strongly disagree that “Rising house prices are a good thing for Britain” while a further third (34%) tend to disagree. A fifth (20%) either strongly agree or tend to agree that price rises are a good thing. The poll…

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The great GE 2015 divide: CON 57pc chance of a majority or LAB an 81pc one

The great GE 2015 divide: CON 57pc chance of a majority or LAB an 81pc one

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One thing’s for sure: They can’t both be right Nine days ago the prominent Oxford political scientist, Dr. Stephen Fisher, produced what appeared to be a startling new forecast for GE2015 that gave the Conservatives a 57% chance of winning an overall majority. Last night the ex-Cambridge mathematician, Martin Baxter of Electoral Calculus fame, issued his latest monthly forecast based on a polling average applied to his well known and widely used Commons seat model. This pointed to Labour having…

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Local By-Election Preview: All Hallow’s Eve 2013

Local By-Election Preview: All Hallow’s Eve 2013

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Pillgwenlly on Newport (Lab Defence) Result of last council election (2012): Lab 37, Con 10, Ind 2, Lib Dem 1 (Labour overall majority of 24) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 756, 703 (64%) Conservative 306 (14%) Plaid Cymru 277 (12%) Liberal Democrats 150, 71 (10%) Candidates duly nominated: Omar Ali (Lab), Paul Haliday (Lib Dem), Tony Ismail (Con), Khalilur Rahman (Plaid) Newpoort came into existence as a unitary authority in 1995, following the abolition…

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How actual migration numbers appear to follow concern level in Ipsos-MORI issues index

How actual migration numbers appear to follow concern level in Ipsos-MORI issues index

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The link between actual migration flow and concern level In Ipsos-MORI Issues Index See trend chart pic.twitter.com/QzyEJKVADp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2013 Other news from this afternoon’s Ipsos-MORI Issues Index Latest Ipsos-MORI Issues Index is out and sees rise for immigration See chart pic.twitter.com/RzvR0c61RT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2013 Economy still biggest concern in Ipsos-MORI Issues Index but not at the level it was See trend chart pic.twitter.com/NIe143ad7n — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 31, 2013

EdM still tight odds on favourite to be next PM

EdM still tight odds on favourite to be next PM

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EdM remains firm odds on favourite to be next PM with PaddyPower  http://t.co/0KpwlJgy4T See odds pic.twitter.com/XbA10nEtqt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2013 Above is the latest betting on PaddyPower on who will be next PM. As can be seen there’s not much of a return in prospect for those backing Miliband. Betting sentiment is still on an outcome that sees the LAB leader entering Number 10. The price assumes that both LAB are in a position to form a government after…

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