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As concerns about the economy subside immigration could soon be biggest in the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

As concerns about the economy subside immigration could soon be biggest in the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

@IpsosMORI Issues Index has been carried out in same way for 37 yrs and because it's unprompted is widely regarded as best test of salience — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2013 Main findings in December Ipsos-MORI Issues Index in which people state their concerns unprompted – what's salient pic.twitter.com/Gk2CL6no2T — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2013 As concerns about the economy subside immigration could soon be biggest issue See Ipsos-MORI December Issues index pic.twitter.com/utB3KKugw7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December…

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Local By-Election Results : December 12th 2013

Local By-Election Results : December 12th 2013

Topcliffe on Hambleton (Con Defence) Candidates duly nominated: Garry Key (Con) Result: Conservative HOLD elected unopposed Hornby Castle on Richmondshire (Con Defence) Result: Conservative 127 (46%), Independent 98 (36%), United Kingdom Independence Party 50 (18%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 29 (10%) Iver Village and Richings Park (Lib Dem Defence) Result: Conservative 422 (47%), United Kingdom Independence Party 377 (42%), Liberal Democrats 101 (11%) Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrats with a majority of 45 (5%) Bedworth West on Warwickshire…

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Local By-Election Preview: December 12th 2013

Local By-Election Preview: December 12th 2013

Topcliffe on Hambleton (Con Defence) Result of last election (2011): Con 39, Ind 3, Lib Dem 2 (Conservative overall majority of 34) Result of last election in ward (2011): Con 550 (75%), Lib Dem 185 (25%) Candidates duly nominated: Garry Key (Con) Result: Conservative HOLD elected unopposed Hambleton is quite accustomed to the concept of elected unopposed being a rural area in the North of Yorkshire, however as their colleagues in Richmondshire may find being elected unopposed can have it’s…

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The David Cameron paradox: His “little black book” could form both the CON and LD manifestos

The David Cameron paradox: His “little black book” could form both the CON and LD manifestos

In an interview with Speccie editor, Fraser Nelson David Cameron gives an interesting insight into how his party will present itself at GE2015 “..The coalition is still strong and radical, he says, ‘but because of what I see as the problems facing Britain — and what I want to do next as Prime Minister — I feel very passionately that I want single party government’. It’s strange, I say, he doesn’t come across as a man held captive by the…

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Tories move up 5pc in first full voting intention poll since the autumn statement

Tories move up 5pc in first full voting intention poll since the autumn statement

Osborne has a YouGov lead of 10% as best chancellor. Just 55% of LAB voters backed Ed Balls — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 8, 2013 On Friday YouGov was showing a 12% lead from a poll where the fieldwork mostly took place before Osborne’s autumn statement. It was way out of line with previous polls and did look like an outlier. Today’s YouGov for the Sunday Times is in chart above and as we can see there are big changes….

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Osborne could have a branding problem that would make him an electoral liability

Osborne could have a branding problem that would make him an electoral liability

pic.twitter.com/Wv1pnN50y8 — PolPics (@PolPics) December 7, 2013 Voters turn against when told that a plan has his backing Yesterday’s Ipsos-MORI poll on the Autumn Statement raises an issue that could be troublesome for the Tories as they head into the general election – a branding problem when George Osborne is involved. Back in March the firm asked people to choose between two statements about the best way to deal with Britain’s economic difficulties – either tackling the national debt or…

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Local By-Election Results : December 5th 2013

Local By-Election Results : December 5th 2013

Riverside (Lab Defence) and Splott (Lab Defence) on Cardiff Riverside: Result: Lab 1,120 (50% +2%), Plaid 773 (35% +4%), Con 107 (5% -3%), UKIP 97 (4%), TUSC 70 (3% +2%), Lib Dem 58 (3% -1%) Labour HOLD on a swing of 1% from Labour to Plaid Splott: Result: Lab 706 (40% -14%), Lib Dem 604 (34% +4%), UKIP 209 (12%), Ind 94 (5%), Con 86 (5% unchanged), TUSC 80 (4% +3%) Labour HOLD on a swing of 9% from Labour…

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Local By-Elections Preview: December 5th 2013

Local By-Elections Preview: December 5th 2013

Riverside (Lab Defence) and Splott (Lab Defence) on Cardiff Result of last election (2012): Lab 46, Lib Dem 16, Con 7, Ind 3, Plaid 2, Heath Independents 1 (Labour overall majority of 17) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes Elected Riverside: Labour 1,731, 1,555, 1,431 (48%) Plaid Cymru 1,153, 944, 940 (31%) Greens 294, 272, 189 (8%) Conservatives 286, 276, 263 (8%) Liberal Democrats 142, 129, 122 (4%) Trade Unionists and Socialists 99 (1%) Candidates duly nominated:…

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