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Electorally the Tories can’t upset the oldies The above table was produced by Ipsos-MORI and published shortly after the GE2010. It shows the demographic breakdown of how Britain voted. The key numbers are for the older age groups – the pensioners. Not only were they the most likely to turnout they were the most Tory. If you are facing an election sixteen months time you have to think very carefully before doing anything negative to your key voting group. Increasing…

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Are the polls or the punters wrong? If the polls are to be believed, Labour is on course for a comfortable victory in 2015.  As Mike has pointed out in several related posts over the last few weeks, the voters who backed the Lib Dems in 2010 and have since switched to Labour seem firm in their intention and are more likely to vote than the average.  Add in the effect of UKIP and the fact that Labour needs a…

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Just to note that tomorrow there will not be the usual PB Christmas Day cross-word from StJohn. For various reasons he’s not been able to do one this year. If anybody has any other ideas for tomorrow on the site then let me know or just post below. I’m at home with my wife Jacky, my daughters, son-in-law, and two of my grandchildren. I don’t intend to post very much. Regard this as an open thread and have an enjoyable…

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Harper Green on Bolton (Lab Defence) Result: Lab 744 (51% -22% on 2012), Con 325 (23% +6% on 2012), UKIP 252 (18%), Green 60 (4%), Lib Dem 53 (4% -6%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 419 (28%) on a swing of 14% from Labour to Conservative since 2012 Elm and Christchurch on Fenland (Con Defence) Result: Con 301 (44%), UKIP 234 (34%), Ind 73 (11%), Lab 51 (7%), Lib Dem 27 (4%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 67…

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