politicalbetting.com

Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania looking OK for the ex-VP As we saw at WH2016 the national US vote totals are irrelvant in deciding the presidency but it is what is going on in the most marginal states that will give us the best indication. So over the coming months indivdual polls from Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvsnia are going to get a lot of attntion. This morning here’ve been new Reuters/Ipsos polls in the three states and they all have Biden leading Trump…

Read More Read More

How the referendum divide shows in pandemic polling With the supply of PPE equipment so dominating the news several pollsters have been asking questions like the latest from YouGov above on how Johnson’s government is performing over the issue. The answer overall is not very well with two thirds of voters saying the government is doing a bad job. What is interesting is how the huge divide in opinion over Brexit shows markedly over an issue like this. As can…

Read More Read More

For me one of the features of the lockdown has been the gallows type humour it has generated. My WhatsApp groups are a good source and I think it is healthy to have a good chuckle every now and then. I’m sure other PBers have seen the same. If you have got anything that has made you laugh then share it on the thread below.

The stories that won’t go away One of the challenges for the government is that the lockdown demands an enormous lot of the population as a whole which in return ministers have to give the appearance of competence in the management of this huge crisis. It is here that things are starting to fray at the edges. Today’s newspaper front pages above feature several big issues which question how Johnson and his team have been operating. The FT has got…

Read More Read More

In terms of audience and the length and quality of our comment threads the site is going through just about its strongest period ever. Inevitably the pandemic is keeping many people at home and PB has become a great place to come. Unfortunately there is a downside – the crisis has meant that our revenue sources, advertising and affiliate income from bookmakers have declined to almost a trickle and we are fast getting to a stage where it could my…

Read More Read More

With Boris still convalescing after his bout of the virus there have been mixed messages over the weekend about what the government intends to do. First there were reports that we were going to see a partial return to the normal state over a period of months with primary schools going back in a fortnight being the first step. Then it was being briefed that we’d see a much bigger range of shops being allowed to remain open. That has…

Read More Read More

Over the past 24 hours I’ve changed my betting position on Biden’s VP to put most of my money on Elizabeth Warren. This came after reading this from Taegan Goddard on his Politicalwire site under the heading “Warren Angling to Be Biden’s Veep” following her annoucement that she was seeking the job: ..Biden is making serious efforts to reach out to the progressive side of the Democratic party. For instance, he’s put Bernie Sanders loyalists on various committees to influence…

Read More Read More

Being stuck in our homes for most of the day the Thursday evening clapping in the streets for the NHS comes as something of a relief. It is just nice to get out of the house and also to exchange a few words with neighbours. Where I live this has become even more of an occasion because at one of the houses someone sets of the series of fireworks timed at exactly 8pm. Mike Smithson