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The Yellows could be paying the price for Clegg’s debate gamble Just 19% of GE2010 LD voters tell ComRes IoS/S Mirror poll that they've a favourable view of Nick Clegg. 52% say unfavourable. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 12, 2014 ComRes: Cameron showed "serious lack of leadership over his handling of Maria Miller’s expenses" Agree 62% Disagree 15% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 12, 2014 ComRes/IoS S Mirror: My family is better off now than at the GE2010 Agree 20% Disagree 59%…

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Some good UKIP perforances in terms of votes but no seats Belle Vue on Cumbria (Labour Defence) Result: Labour 565 (46% -20%), Conservative 435 (35% +1%), UKIP 234 (19%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 130 (11%) on a swing of 11% from Labour to Conservative Flint, Trelawny on Flintshire (Labour Defence) Result: Labour 350 (39% -33%), UKIP 261 (29%), Independent 242 (27% +8%), Conservative 54 (6%) Labour HOLD woith a majority of 89 (10%) on a swing of 31%…

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This could be a very dangerous period for all 4 leaders On May 22nd there are the Euro Elections and as well, for 58% of voters nationwide, local elections. This will be the biggest electoral test before the May 7 2015 general election. The outcomes could impact on the futures of all four main party leaders. Parts of the Conservative party have never been reconciled to David Cameron and he’s still blamed in some quarters for failing to win a…

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The above poll, by ComRes for ITV News, was taken this afternoon after the news of Maria Miller’s resignation was announced and shows what voters thought of David Cameron’s handling of the expenses issue. The numbers speak for themselves. But with all such polling the question is whether and how it will impact on voting intentions. My guess is that it will help Farage’s party. Notice how UKIP voters are the most negative to the PM. Mike Smithson Ranked in…

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Sajid Javid seems to get his breaks replacing CON women caught up in expenses rows. At GE2010 he took over Bromsgrove from Julie Kirkbride — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2014 The first of the CON 2010 intake into the cabinet What a morning and it’s quite hard keeping up with developments. There’s no doubt that ex-banker, Sajid Javid, is one of the most able CON MPs to be elected at GE2010 but the big surprise is the Cameron has…

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Four out of five Tory members believe that Maria Miller should quit the Cabinet http://t.co/n4ACVYftk0 — ConservativeHome (@ConHome) April 8, 2014 Three times as many told YouGov that Gove (27%) & Clegg (28%) should "remain in role" as Maria Miller (9%) http://t.co/nlfuerftm2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2014 At today’s PMQs Cameron will face one of the 2009 “Expenses’ Saints” In 2009 the Telegraph classified EdM as one of "The Expenses' Saints" http://t.co/9CQ46kY2Xr Most frugal in cabinet pic.twitter.com/kulVAnvKV2 — Mike…

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The Tory vote will be boosted by UKIP returners and fewer 2010 CON don’t knows At the end of last week Ladbrokes put up a GE2015 market on whether the Tories could come out with most votes but be behind on seats. The price when I got on at was 8/1 which seemed a good value bet. I am increasingly coming to the view that this might happen. As we get closer to May 7th 2015, election day, I think…

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