politicalbetting.com

Government gains are exceptionally rare, even with poll leads Byelectionitis is not a condition that usually afflicts the Conservative Party and, to be fair, nor is it doing so now. The demands of government and particularly Brexit are inevitably occupying the attention of the Party and its members, both activist and elected. All the same, the flurry of positive polls for the Tories since the TIG split suggesting a Con lead of around 7-8% over Labour begs the question of…

Read More Read More

Labour 7,858 votes (30% -4% on last time) winning 3 seats (-2 seats on last time) Liberal Democrats 6,854 votes (26% +10% on last time) winning 2 seats (+1 seat on last time) Conservatives 6,267 votes (24% -1% on last time) winning 3 seats (unchanged on last time) Plaid Cymru 831 votes (3% +1% on last time) winning 1 seat (+1 seat on last time) Green Party 691 votes (3% -1% on last time) winning 0 seats (unchanged on last…

Read More Read More

A hold, a gain and big vote share increases Bolton & Undercliffe (Bradford) result: LDEM: 51.3% (+9.0)LAB: 34.1% (-10.6)CON: 12.4% (+2.4)GRN: 2.2% (-0.8) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour. — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 7, 2019 Thornton (Lambeth) result: LAB: 44.7% (-18.2)LDEM: 32.8% (+23.1)GRN: 9.7% (-1.7)CON: 9.6% (-6.4)WEP: 1.8% (+1.8)UKIP: 1.4% (+1.4) Labour HOLD. — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 7, 2019 Evendons (Wokingham) result: LDEM: 63.1% (+16.3)CON: 31.9% (-8.8)LAB: 5.0% (-7.5) Liberal Democrat HOLD. — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 7, 2019…

Read More Read More

Bexhill West on East Sussex (January 10th 2019) Independent 1,761 votes (52% +2% on last time) Conservative 1,071 votes (32% -1% on last time) Liberal Democrat 261 votes (8% +2% on last time) Labour 111 votes (3% -4% on last time) Green Party 107 votes (3% no candidate last time) UKIP 81 votes (2% -2% on last time) Independent HOLD with a majority of 690 (20%) on a swing of 1.5% from Con to Ind St. Mark’s on Rother (January…

Read More Read More

The yellows must fancy their chances in this Remain seat The news that John Bercow is bowing to the inevitable and planning to stand down in the summer opens up the prospect of what could be a humdinger of a by-election. For it is hard seeing him continuing as an MP when he ceases to be Speaker. There is a tradition of outgoing Speakers not staying around in the House and such a move by Bercow would follow recent precedents….

Read More Read More