We wait for the by election result
Eastleigh – the result twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 1, 2013
The LDs equal their highest national share with YouGov since 2010
A pointer to tomorrow’s big by-election? The day before #Eastleigh – pie chart with latest YouGov daily poll twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 How #Rennardgate is impacting on the Lib Dem shares in YouGov daily poll twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013
On Friday the good citizens of Eastleigh will get their lives back
Only 2 days to go for the campaign weary people of #Eastleigh. twitter.com/mrjohnofarrell… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013 The #Eastleigh campaign – the most intensive ever? Ashcroft poll finds 90% of all voters have been contacted by the Tories & 92% by the LDs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013
Very high levels of don’t knows amongst 2010 voters in Times Populus Eastleigh poll suggest that battle is still wide open
Pie chart showing breakdown of support in today’s Times Populus #Eastleigh poll twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2013 The only real certainty is that Labour is out of it Overnight I’ve been fortunate to have be given the dataset from today’s Populus Eastleigh poll for the Times and the big message is that this battle is far tighter than the 5% Lib Dem lead might suggest. Very significant numbers of 2010 voters for the three main parties, 30%…
The CON Eastleigh campaign goes into damage limitation mode for the final week
Latest Lib Dem poster highlighting CON candidate absence from this morning’s 5live hustings. twitter.com/NickThornsby/s… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2013 .@timfarron on Hutchings no-show tmrw at 5Live Eastleigh special: “You hv to ask why the Conservative machine keeps trying to hide her away” — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) February 20, 2013 On balance keeping Hutchings off 5live today was correct No doubt the post mortem on the CON Eastleigh campaign will focus how the party found itself lumbered with a…
Ukip local by-election worry for the Tories as we go into the final week in Eastleigh
MT @msmithsonpb: LDs gain in Chelmsford by election.LD 543 (38%) Con 423 (30%) UKIP 280 (20%) Lab 129 (9%) GRN 47. — Gawain Towler (@GawainTowler) February 20, 2013 @msmithsonpb Vote share changes in the#Broomfield, Chelmsford BC byelection: #LibDems +15%, #Tories -14%. LibDem gain… — ColinW (@sxybio) February 20, 2013 In the total absence of any new Eastleigh by-election polling there’s a marked lack of data as we enter the final week of the campaign. One pointer that might worry the…
The CON team tries to turn it round with eight campaigning days to go
Lib Dem housing horror, shock, smear, cute bunnies in #Eastleigh ! twitter.com/byelection/sta… — Michael Fabricant (@Mike_Fabricant) February 19, 2013 Will this approach resonate with voters? With both the LAB and CON candidates being under serious fire in recent days the blues are turning their guns on the Lib Dem over a big planning issue. Their leaflet is above. One of the problems with having a local councillor as a candidate is that he/she is always vulnerable to things like this…
Betfair punters now make the Lib Dems a 72 percent chance in Eastleigh
Big changes in the last hour in #Easteigh betting. Based on last trades on Betfair the LDs now a 72% chance. CON 22.2 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 18, 2013