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Category: By elections

A 2014 by-election in Lansley’s Cambs South would be a battle to relish – and there’s a reasonable chance it could happen

A 2014 by-election in Lansley’s Cambs South would be a battle to relish – and there’s a reasonable chance it could happen

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Lansley’s now joint 2nd favourite to be next EU Commissioner One of the big decisions that the coalition government has to take in the next few months is who should be the next UK EU Commissioner to the take up office in Brussels in the autumn. Lots of names have been mentioned and last week Ladbrokes opened a betting market. A critical political consideration is that if an MP is appointed then he/she would have to resign their seat and…

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If UKIP is to win Westminster seats it needs much more direct voter contact than in Wythenshawe

If UKIP is to win Westminster seats it needs much more direct voter contact than in Wythenshawe

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How the parties are campaigning from the @LordAshcroft Wythenshawe poll pic.twitter.com/oFC8TtPY3W — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 7, 2014 Getting data is absolutely essential Once again Lord Ashcroft has done what the mainstream media seems to have all but abandoned – commissioned an expensive phone poll on an upcoming political event and come up with data that adds to our understanding of the current political scene. No one is particularly surprised by the voting numbers in his Wythenshawe poll – LAB…

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Local By-Election Preview : January 30th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : January 30th 2014

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Heanor East on Amber Valley (Lab Defence) Result of last election for council (2012): Con 24, Lab 21 (Conservative overall majority of 3) Result of ward at last election (2012): Lab 838 (53%), Con 391 (25%), BNP 284 (18%), Lib Dem 69 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Steven Grainger (Con), Sheila Oakes (Lab), Kate Smith (Lib Dem) Chadsmead on Lichfield (Con Defence) Result of last election for council (2011): Con 46, Lab 10 (Conservative overall majority of 36) Result of ward…

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By-Election Results : January 23rd 2014

By-Election Results : January 23rd 2014

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Motherwell North on North Lanarkshire (Lab Defence) Result: Lab 1,719 (68% unchanged on 2012), SNP 520 (21% -4% on 2012), Con 173 (7% +2% on 2012), UKIP 107 (4% no candidate in 2012) Labour HOLD with a majority of 1,199 (47%) on a swing of 2% from SNP to Lab West Leigh on Southend on Sea (Con Defence) Result: (Changes since 2011, when retiring councillor was last elected) Con 743 (37% -13% on 2011), Lib Dem 688 (34% +1% on…

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LAB hold the Cowdenbeath Holyrood by-election on a 11.25 percent swing from the SNP

LAB hold the Cowdenbeath Holyrood by-election on a 11.25 percent swing from the SNP

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How Salmond was being reported a week before the Cowdenbeath by-election pic.twitter.com/2BnXnBEcAq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 24, 2014 LAB 55.8% (+9.3) SNP 28.4% (-13.2) CON 9.4% (+2.5) UKIP 3.0% L Dem 2.1% (-1.8) Victims 0.9% SDA 0.3% The campaign approach that could scupper YES Given that we are now only eight months away from the referendum in Scotland that will determine whether it stays in the UK or not the outcome of every election north of the border is being…

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Portsmouth South would make an interesting by-election but Hancock, surely, will hang on in there

Portsmouth South would make an interesting by-election but Hancock, surely, will hang on in there

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Lots of talk tonight about Portsmouth South. This is what happened at GE2010 pic.twitter.com/2J7dmAzNbF — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 22, 2014 @robfordmancs LD organisation in Portsmouth S even stronger than Eastleigh. This is about data & skilled foot soldiers — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 22, 2014 @MSmithsonPB Interesting – thanks Mike. Could be a crucial test of the power of local LD machines to hold back the tide, then. — Rob Ford (England) (@robfordmancs) January 22, 2014 @MSmithsonPB Yes, would…

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Wythenshawe looks as though it will take place in mid-February

Wythenshawe looks as though it will take place in mid-February

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Betting on who’ll win outright See where the money has been going in the Wythenshawe betting. Best LAB price now 1/9 pic.twitter.com/7GU7JKsCM9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2014 Betting on the runner-up Ukip now 2/5 favourite to come 2nd in Wythenshawe. See where money has been going pic.twitter.com/TSmOjIj8tK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2014 With the Wythenshawe by-election expected to take place in mid-February all the attention is now on who’ll get selected for Labour and UKIP. Clearly,…

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