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Category: By elections

Suddenly a by-election possibility in CON-held Newark comes into the frame. A chance for UKIP or LAB gain?

Suddenly a by-election possibility in CON-held Newark comes into the frame. A chance for UKIP or LAB gain?

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After a spate of boring LAB heartland contests this could be mega The Sunday Times is reporting this morning that the CON MP for Newark, Patrick Mercer could be on the point of quitting which would force a by-election over a cash for questions scandal. The story states that “the Commons standards committee will meet on Tuesday to ban him from parliament for six months. The MP for Newark, a winnable seat for UKIP, has told friends that if he…

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Local By-Election Preview: April 10th 2014

Local By-Election Preview: April 10th 2014

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Belle Vue on Cumbria (Labour Defence) Result of last election to council (2013): Labour 35, Conservatives 26, Liberal Democrats 16, Independents 7 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 8) Result of last election in ward (2013): Labour 760 (66%), Conservatives 393 (34%) Candidates duly nominated: Christine Bowditch (Lab), Nigel Christian (Con), John Stanyer (UKIP) Trying to get a majority on Cumbria County Council could be compared to trying to get an ice cube to remain frozen in a desert. Since…

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Local By-Election Results: March 20th 2014

Local By-Election Results: March 20th 2014

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Wroxham on Broadland (Liberal Democrat defence) Result: Lib Dem 482 (48%), Con 341 (34%), UKIP 112 (11%), Lab 63 (6%) Liberal Democrat HOLD with a majority of 141 (14%) Gamston on Rushcliffe (Conservative defence) Result: Con 444 (44%), Lab 218 (22%), UKIP 173 (17%), Lib Dem 170 (17%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 226 (22%) Turnout: 26% Cellarhead on Staffordshire, Moorlands (Staffordshire Independent defence) Result: Con 175 (32%), Lab 132 (24%), Staffs Ind 119 (22%), UKIP 105 (19%), Lib…

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This week’s local By-Election: The detailed results

This week’s local By-Election: The detailed results

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Petersfield, Bell Hill on East Hampshire (Conservative Defence) Result: Conservative 190 (42% -15%), UKIP 110 (24%), Labour 75 (17% -2%), Liberal Democrats 74 (16% -8%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 80 (18%) on a swing of 20% from Conservative to United Kingdom Independence Party Petersfield, Butser on Hampshire (Conservative Defence) Result: Conservative 1,156 (37% -2%), UKIP 720 (23% +1%), Liberal Democrats 685 (22% +1%), Labour 322 (10% +1%), Green 220 (7% -2%). Conservative HOLD with a majority of 436…

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Why Labour’s loss of Ramsbottom to CON should bring some cheer to the blue team

Why Labour’s loss of Ramsbottom to CON should bring some cheer to the blue team

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Bury N, where LAB lost council seat to CON last night, is in LAB GE2015 target #41 http://t.co/ee2w0R3jCF pic.twitter.com/GDGLbL1xFT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 7, 2014 CON GAIN from LAB Ramsbottom on Bury CON 1398 LAB 1033 UKIP 351 GRN 157 LD 38 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 7, 2014 It is well over a year since PB started its regular Thursday night coverage of local council by-election. Harry Hayfield has done a great job of keeping us all informed. For me the significant results are…

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The real challenge for UKIP now is getting their insurgency on track again

The real challenge for UKIP now is getting their insurgency on track again

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It’s tougher because LAB, at least, has worked out how to fight them We’ve heard a lot from Nigel Farage and others Kippers in the past day or so about the difficulty of fighting what they describe as the “ruthless” Labour machine. The very high proportion of votes cast that were done by post is one of the things that they’ve highlighted as though it was somehow unfair. It may or may not be but that is the current electoral…

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LAB easily holds Wythenshawe. UKIP beat Tories to second place on a share of 17.8pc

LAB easily holds Wythenshawe. UKIP beat Tories to second place on a share of 17.8pc

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LAB vote in #Wythenshawe 55% – up from the 44% of GE2010 UKIP 17.8% up from 3% at GE2010 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2014 #Wythenshawe is UKIP's poorest by-election result since Croydon North in November 2012 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2014 In terms of % vote loss #Wythenshawe is the Lib Dems worst by-election result since 1945 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2014 The harsh lesson for UKIP in #Wythenshawe is that under first past the…

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Wythenshawe: To maintain momentum today UKIP needs a good second place with a vote share well above 20 percent

Wythenshawe: To maintain momentum today UKIP needs a good second place with a vote share well above 20 percent

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SportingIndex http://t.co/XReNcJQk6i open Wythenshawe spread betting market pic.twitter.com/bdfy19szyw — PolPics (@PolPics) February 11, 2014 Being beaten by the Tories would be a severe blow Unlike Labour, RESPECT and the Lib Dems Nigel Farage’s UKIP has not won a Westminster by-election during this parliament. It has been regularly, as the chart shows, getting second places and in three of the last five by-elections it has chalked up vote shares of more than 20%. But getting that elusive seat at Westminster is proving…

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