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Category: By elections

On the eve of the CON primary result a UKIP donor funded ComRes Rochester poll has the purples 13% ahead

On the eve of the CON primary result a UKIP donor funded ComRes Rochester poll has the purples 13% ahead

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UKIP campaign HQ Rochester pic.twitter.com/dGnzE4E8SN — PolPics (@PolPics) October 19, 2014 UKIP 43: CON 30: LAB 21: LD 3: GRN 2 Th big by-election news tonight which has already been anticipated by the betting markets is a new UKIP donor funded poll of Rochester & Strood in the Daily Express. The news is not good for the Tories and very good for the purples. The poll has Farage’s party in a better position than it was in the Mail/Survation poll…

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Rochester and Strood is being presented as solely a CON-UKIP battle – but what about Labour?

Rochester and Strood is being presented as solely a CON-UKIP battle – but what about Labour?

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Naushabah Khan – Labour's candidate in the Rochester by-election pic.twitter.com/EJVyShi0Pn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 22, 2014 Could the Kickboxer kick CON and UKIP ass? After Labour’s pitiful performances at the Heywood and Newark by-elections it is easy to dismiss their chances entirely in the Rochester and Strood by-election on November 20th. The national party has not given the impression that this is a priority and recent form does not bode well. But in the only polling that’s been done,…

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If the Tories get a good turnout in the Rochester all postal primary it’ll be a pointer to the by-election itself

If the Tories get a good turnout in the Rochester all postal primary it’ll be a pointer to the by-election itself

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Cllrs Anna Firth and Kelly Tolworth: the CON contenders in the all postal primary to be candidate in Rochester pic.twitter.com/ct6a9BRni3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 21, 2014 But what is good – this is a by-election first? On Thursday we’ll get the results of the unique all postal primary that the Tories have carried out to choose their Candidate for the November 20th Rochester & Strood by-election. This is the first time that any party has chosen a by-election candidate…

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Polling analysis: Rochester is a far far bigger challenge for UKIP than Clacton

Polling analysis: Rochester is a far far bigger challenge for UKIP than Clacton

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UKIP is not winning the 2010 Tory vote like it did in Clacton Reckless has nothing like the personal support as Carswell The outcome could be on a knife-edge I’ve become totally absorbed by the Rochester by-election the outcome of which, either way, will have a dramatic affect on the political environment in the six months to the May 7th general election. Over the weekend I’ve had a look again at the only poll so far which was from Survation….

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Rochester punters unmoved by the CON primary and Cameron visit: UKIP still a 77.5% chance

Rochester punters unmoved by the CON primary and Cameron visit: UKIP still a 77.5% chance

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Raised key local issues of support for small business & job creation with @DavidCameron in #RochesterAndStrood today pic.twitter.com/KX7HcKnExy — Kelly Tolhurst (@KellyTolhurst) October 16, 2014 Is Reckless right to complain about the CON primary? We are just five weeks away from the Rochester & Strood by-election and today David Cameron visited the area to meet local businesses as well as the two women competing to be the CON candidate. Last night the Tories staged hustings and voting papers have now…

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And so to Rochester & Strood which has become a “must win” for both the Tories and UKIP

And so to Rochester & Strood which has become a “must win” for both the Tories and UKIP

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Latest Betfair trade has Ukip's Mark Reckless as a 78% chance to win the Rochester & Strood by-election pic.twitter.com/MN5bWpcTNr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 12, 2014 Will the CON all postal primary get them into the game? Inevitably UKIP go into the upcoming Rochester & Strood by-election with their tails up high. Clacton, and even more so, Heywood have given the party the “big mo” which they hope will carry over to the next contest. Although the only public poll…

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To Clacton and beyond, but just how far is that?

To Clacton and beyond, but just how far is that?

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David Herdson on Thursday’s dramatic elections Revolutions are best viewed through the wide-angled lens of history, not the microscope of journalism.  Even in the most turbulent times, occurrences that would have seemed literally incredible just a few years earlier are taken almost for granted after the conditioning of intervening incremental events. So it is with UKIP’s successes at this week’s by-elections.  Douglas Carswell’s victory was expected by all sides and duly delivered.  His colleague in Heywood and Middleton came very…

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