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Category: By elections

Mark Reckless wins Rochester for UKIP with a majority of 7.2%

Mark Reckless wins Rochester for UKIP with a majority of 7.2%

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Reckless Rochester numbers pic.twitter.com/JST7qvcIM7 — Robin Brant (@robindbrant) November 21, 2014 But can he be confident of holding on next May and will it encourage more defectors? In the end the Rochester result was a lot closer than any of the final polls had suggested but the first stage Mark Reckless’s massive gamble has paid off – he’s back again as MP for Rochester. The winning margin was 7.2% which compared with the gaps of 12% and more that we…

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Marf on Rochester and Harry Hayfield’s local and Westminster by-election preview

Marf on Rochester and Harry Hayfield’s local and Westminster by-election preview

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Bramhall South & Woodford on Stockport (Con Defence) Result of council at last election (2014): Liberal Democrats 28, Labour 22, Conservatives 10, Independents 3 (No Overall Control, Liberal Democrats short by 4) Result of ward at last election (2014): Conservatives 1,862 (45%), Liberal Democrats 1,373 (33%), UKIP 538 (13%), Labour 369 (9%) Candidates duly nominated: David McDonough (Green), John McGahan (Con), Jeremy Meal (Lib Dem), Kathryn Priestley (Lab) Twenty years may seem like a lifetime in local politics and yet…

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Anybody got any by-election news from Rochester and Strood?

Anybody got any by-election news from Rochester and Strood?

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Mark Reckless with his “wonderful wife” … voting earlier with my wonderful wife. Today is day for people of Rochester and Strood who are my boss pic.twitter.com/OThUwF0po7 — Mark Reckless (@MarkReckless) November 20, 2014 Kelly Tolhurst looking a bit strained Grabbed a quick coffee from Boomers in Chatham Dockside before heading out again for #VoteKelly TODAY campaigning pic.twitter.com/c5odwmMERc — Kelly Tolhurst (@KellyTolhurst) November 20, 2014 It would be great to hear from you on the thread below. What’s turnout like?…

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Rochester betting: Although UKIP looks a near certainty there are still some interesting markets

Rochester betting: Although UKIP looks a near certainty there are still some interesting markets

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Ladbrokes betting http://t.co/ZlibygoyoN Rochester turnout. 8/11 below 50%. Evens 50%+ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2014 William Hill betting http://t.co/orbZ1ewJDz LDs 1/33 to lose deposit in Rochester. Seems a certainty even though price very tight. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2014 Sporting Index http://t.co/56fhx8BJCR have interesting spread market on UKIP Rochester share. Sell 43% BUY 44.5% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2014 I like the SPIN spread market. If you think UKIP will secure more than 44.5%…

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As the Rochester campaign moves into its final frenetic days your chance to predict the outcome in a PB prize competition

As the Rochester campaign moves into its final frenetic days your chance to predict the outcome in a PB prize competition

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Tories in Rochester attacking Mark Reckless for "studying politics at Oxford". Via @genghisthekahn: pic.twitter.com/QkLCpZnb3s — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2014 Please enter your prediction on the embedded form below. The winner will receive a copy of the new book edited by Philip Cowley and Rob Ford “Sex Lies & The Ballot Box” which was launched earlier this month and has attracted a fair bit of publicity. I am grateful to Nojam.com for helping create a competition entry system that…

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Beware the over-prompting of Mark Reckless and UKIP in Rochester by-election polls

Beware the over-prompting of Mark Reckless and UKIP in Rochester by-election polls

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"@cgi247: Mark Reckless on the campaign trail in Rochester #UKIP pic.twitter.com/qUcjwth85k" — Mark Reckless (@MarkReckless) November 4, 2014 The intro to voting questions in the Ashcroft poll As you may know, the Member of Parliament for Rochester & Strood, Mark Reckless, has announced that he is leaving the Conservative Party and joining the UK Independence Party (UKIP). He has therefore decided to resign as an MP and to fight the resulting by-election in Rochester & Strood as the UKIP candidate….

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Ashcroft Rochester poll has Reckless on course to win next week’s by-election for UKIP but for CON to retake the seat next May

Ashcroft Rochester poll has Reckless on course to win next week’s by-election for UKIP but for CON to retake the seat next May

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The GE15 finding will be a deterrent for other potential defectors The detail of the Ashcroft Rochester poll are jjust out and feature in the chart above. The 12% UKIP lead is very much in line with other recent Rochester polling from Survation and ComRes and unless there’s a sharp turnaround in the the next week Mark Reckless looks to set return to Westminster. But there’s a huge sting in the tale for Reckless. The sample was also asked how…

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