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Category: By elections

Tonight’s local by-election previewed by Harry Hayfield

Tonight’s local by-election previewed by Harry Hayfield

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Banff and District (SNP defence) D and Inverurie and District (Lib Dem defence) R on Aberdeenshire Result of council at last election (2012): Scottish National Party 28, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 12, Independents 11, Labour 2, Green 1 (No Overall Control, SNP short by 7) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 76,445 (55%) LEAVE 62,516 (45%) on a turnout of 71% Scottish Independence Referendum Result: YES 71,337 (40%) NO 108,606 (60%) on a turnout of 87% Banff and District Result of ward…

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Of all the Westminster constituencies affected by Heathrow Richmond Park is where there’s the most opposition

Of all the Westminster constituencies affected by Heathrow Richmond Park is where there’s the most opposition

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Maybe this is a reflection of Goldsmith’s campaigning Back in July, just after TMay took over at Number 10, Populus carried out a big series of phone polls in constituencies most affected by the then proposed expansion of Heathrow. The data is in the chart above. What is striking that in all but two of the seats polled there was net support for the expansion not opposition. Perhaps this is an indication of the huge contribution to the local economy…

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Local By-Election Results : October 27th 2016 and October Summary

Local By-Election Results : October 27th 2016 and October Summary

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Rhyl West on Denbighshire (Lab defence) Result: Lab 199 (48% +5% on 2012), Con 93 (22% -3% on 2012), Ind (Shone) 55 (13%), Ind (Webster) 42 (10%), Lib Dem 26 (6%, no candidate in 2012) Labour HOLD with a majority of 106 (26%) on a swing of 4% from Con to Lab Total Independent vote: 97 (23% +6% on 2012) Collington (Ind defence) and Darwell (Con defence) on Rother Collington Result: Ind 818 (60% +20% on 2015), Con 393 (29%…

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Zac ahead 56%-29% in first Richmond poll and seems to be getting backing of the Standard

Zac ahead 56%-29% in first Richmond poll and seems to be getting backing of the Standard

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More from BMG poll. Goldsmith holds 74% of 2015 Con vote and would win even if there was a Con candidate (34 Zac / 25 LD / 20 Con) pic.twitter.com/XDTHUCNxOD — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) October 28, 2016 London freebie, Standard, which was overwhelmingly on Zac's side in Mayoral race, continuing positive coverage https://t.co/g950UuR859 pic.twitter.com/h7xHyBJhEr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 28, 2016

Local By-Election Preview : October 27th 2016

Local By-Election Preview : October 27th 2016

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Rhyl West on Denbighshire (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Lab 18, Ind 12, Con 9, Plaid 7, Lib Dem 1 (No Overall Control, Lab short by 6) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 378, 361 (43%) Conservatives 106, 99 (25%) Independent 142 (17%) Plaid Cymru 125 (15%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 23,955 (46%) LEAVE 28,117 (54%) on a turnout of 69% Candidates duly nominated: Les Harker (Con), Alan James (Lab),…

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The PB Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast: Brexit, Zac’s by-election, UKIP’s leadership and whether LAB has a polling floor

The PB Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast: Brexit, Zac’s by-election, UKIP’s leadership and whether LAB has a polling floor

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Detailed analysis of the issues and the numbers A huge amount has happened in UK politics since the last show two weeks ago and joining Keiran Pedley (@KeiranPedley) are Asa Bennett (@AsaBenn) of the Telegraph and Leo Barasi (@leobarasi) of noiseofthecrowd.com BREXIT still totally dominates UK politics and the programme seeks to look at its likely impact in the by-election and, of course, the impact on the differents part of the UK. Another area for analysis is Labour’s polling plight…

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In betting terms the Richmond Park by-election is one of the tightest races in decades

In betting terms the Richmond Park by-election is one of the tightest races in decades

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Currently the bookies make Zac the favourite by a whisker I can’t recall the opening 24 hours of a political betting market where the outcome has appeared so tight. First the opening odds all made Zac the favourite. Then that moved to the LDs until news came through the the Tories would stand aside. That led to the Zac price tightening and for a short while you could get the LDs at longer than evens. No more. The best you…

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The Richmond Park battle with Zac is an absolutely must win for the LDs

The Richmond Park battle with Zac is an absolutely must win for the LDs

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If they can’t recover here then they are in trouble To be frank I had been getting concerned about what we’d be doing on the site after the November 8th US election. PB is at its best when there are real elections taking place and there are real things to bet on. So I was absolutely delighted to get the news that we are to have a by-election in Richmond Park where Zac Goldsmith has quit because of the Heathrow…

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