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Punters on Betfair make LAB a 53% chance on Betfair with UKIP at 29%, LD 11% CON 7%. UKIP's Doc Nuttall could fly the purples' flag pic.twitter.com/OsRzxzn028 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 16, 2017 Betting interest in the Copeland and Stoke by elections is starting to grow even though the sitting MPs have yet to resign. The Copeland man, is off to join the Sellafield nuclear Centre and that’s expected to take place at the end of this month. My…

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But will they be distracted by Stoke Central? The Tories love governing, Labour loves protesting and the Lib Dem love winning elections. With the return to form of the Lib Dems in gaining by-elections, all is now once again well with the world. They might still be languishing in fourth place in the national polls but in actual elections, Farron’s party has been performing admirably well over the last year and in particular over the last few months. Thursday produced…

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I was one of the lucky ones and managed to get £20 on the LDs at Ladbrokes Stoke Central market when the odds were 50/1. That’s now moved in sharply to 7/1 which I think is still reasonable value. Labour must be favourite though this could be very challenging. The party is less effective on the ground since JC and his team arrived. The massive increase in members does not appear to have added to the party’s ability to fight…

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Westminster by-election alert. Stoke Central later in year following MP's appointment as Director of the V&A pic.twitter.com/GQ9lRUgqUt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2017 Constituency map Stoke Central where there's to be a by-election later in the year pic.twitter.com/QjtpTTefpC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2017 Just got 50/1 on the LDs in Stoke Central with Ladbrokes. They've historical strength in the seat & were 2nd at GE2005 & GE2010 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2017 Is Hunt going…

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