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Category: By elections

Two local by-elections tonight – both LAB defences

Two local by-elections tonight – both LAB defences

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Blacon on Chester West and Chester (Lab defence, resignation of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 38, Conservatives 36, Independent 1 (Conservative majority of 1) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 3,579, 3,349, 3,119 (58%) Conservatives 1,109, 979, 941 (18%) United Kingdom Independence Party 1,054, 1,037, 805 (17%) Green Party 482, 303, 227 (8%) EU Referendum Result (2016): REMAIN 95,455 (49%) LEAVE 98,082 (51%) on a turnout of 75% Candidates duly…

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The canvas data that proved to be spot on in Richmond suggests Labour could be in trouble in Manchester Gorton

The canvas data that proved to be spot on in Richmond suggests Labour could be in trouble in Manchester Gorton

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At Richmond Park the LD numbers understated their position For all the speculation on Labour’s polling collapse there’s only one thing that really matters – how the party performs in actual elections and the first real test of that is May 4th which includes, of course, the Manchester Gorton by-election where they are defending a majority of 24k. On the face of it Gorton looks impregnable but is it? The Lib Dems have published their latest canvas data for the…

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Latest locals: CON gains from LAB in Middlesbrough but makes heavy weather against the Greens in Dorset

Latest locals: CON gains from LAB in Middlesbrough but makes heavy weather against the Greens in Dorset

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Coulby Newham on Middlesbrough (Lab defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Conservatives 501 (38% +12%), Labour 468 (35% -3%), Independent 318 (24% +1%), Green Party 32 (2%, no candidate at last election) Conservative GAIN from Labour with a majority of 33 (3%) on a swing of 7.5% from Lab to Con Piddle Valley on West Dorset (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Conservative 303 (61% -8%), Green Party 195 (39% +19%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 108 (22%)…

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The LDs go for the jugular against Corbyn in Manchester Gorton

The LDs go for the jugular against Corbyn in Manchester Gorton

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Brutal Lib Dem leaflet for Manchester Gorton by-election. pic.twitter.com/VUQq3zS23E — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) April 12, 2017 An attack also designed for Remainers Above is a brutal Lib Dem leaflet that is going out in Manchester Gorton where the by-election takes places on May 4th. The party which used to hold all but two of the council seats in the seat believes it is in with good chance of getting a good result and is throwing a lot at the campaign….

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The Tory GE2015 expenses probe could have been the reason that the party’s been polling the LD seats it gained

The Tory GE2015 expenses probe could have been the reason that the party’s been polling the LD seats it gained

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The blue team taking precautionary measures in case of possible by-elections? Last week there were a number of stories sparked off first by George Eaton in the New Statesman about a series of private Crosby Textor polls that the Tories are said to have commissioned in many of the 27 seats that were gained from the LDs at GE2015. The reported polling results suggested that the Tories would struggle to hold onto all but a small handful of them. The…

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It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

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The latest local by elections with an LD gain from UKIP on a whopping 26% swing top off what has been a good week for the LDs. Firstly there have been the Rallings/Thrasher and Lord Robert Hayward May elections’ projection suggesting that the yellows are in for a substantial number of gains on May 4th. In addition to that we have had news of the private Crosby Textor constituency polling for the Tories suggesting that the party is set to…

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Terrible night for UKIP in latest locals losing the two seats it won last time. LDs & CON the gainers

Terrible night for UKIP in latest locals losing the two seats it won last time. LDs & CON the gainers

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Elmhurst on Aylesbury Vale (UKIP defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Liberal Democrat 785 (64% +38%), Labour 151 (12% -10%), Conservative 147 (12% -9%), United Kingdom Independence Party 111 (9% -14%), Green Party 43 (4% -4%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from United Kingdom Independence Party with a majority of 634 (52%) on a swing of 24% from Labour to Liberal Democrat (26% from UKIP to Lib Dem) Walcot on Bath and North East Somerset (Lib Dem defence, resignation of sitting member)…

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