Newton and St. Leonard’s on Exeter (Lab defence) Result: Con 512 (27% +4% on last time), Lab 1,044 (55% +5% on last time), Lib Dem 179 (9% +2% on last time), UKIP 40 (2% -3% on last time), Green 137 (7% -5% on last time) (No Independence from Europe candidate this time -3%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 532 (28%) on a swing of 0.5% from Con to Lab Godalming Central and Ockford on Waverley (Con defence) Result: Con…
One of the problems about running a website dedicated to betting on politics is that we need things on which we can gamble where we’re going to get a result in the not too distant future. The past year has been helped by a couple of unexpected by-elections and of course Mrs May’s decision in April to go to the country for a general election. We have also had some interesting overseas elections including the ones in France, the Netherlands,…
Maidstone North on Maidstone (Con defence) Result: Con 364 (26% -6% on last time), Lab 270 (19% +8% on last time), Lib Dem 719 (51% +20% on last time), Green 47 (3% -2% on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -20%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 355 (25%) on a swing of 13% from Con to Lib Dem Westway on Tanbridge (Lib Dem defence) Result: Con 239 (26% -3% on last time), Lab 118 (13%…
Perth City South on Perth and Kinross (Con defence) First Preferences: Con 1,734 (31% +6% on last time), Lab 314 (6% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 1,597 (29% -6% on last time), Green 102 (2% -1% on last time), Ind 25 (0% -4% on last time), SNP 1,780 (32% +6% on last time) SNP lead of 46 (1%) with no swing between Con and SNP (6% swing from Lib Dem to SNP) Conservative HOLD elected on sixth count Rutherglen…
Kirkley on Waveney (Lab defence) Result: Con 217 (28% +7% on last time), Lab 374 (48% +12% on last time), Lib Dem 84 (11% no candidate last time), UKIP 78 (10% -10% on last time), Green 30 (4% -5% on last time) (No Independent candidate this time -15%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 157 (20%) on a swing of 2.5% from Con to Lab St. Margaret’s on Waveney (Lab defence) Result: Con 487 (42% +12% on last time), Lab…
Bet definitions are so important In the last thread there was a lot of discussion about the precise definition of what particular markets mean. What exactly, for instance, is defined as Britain leaving the EU? The definitions of political bets can often be problematical and can lead to arguments with bookmakers. A current case involves a prominent PBer who has raised the question of how William Hill has settled its number of LAB MPs to resign in 2017 market which…
Limestone Peak on High Peak (Con defence) Result: Con 261 (54% +4% on last time), Lab 133 (27% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 58 (12% no candidate last time), Green 34 (7% no candidate last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -23%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 128 (27%) on a swing of 2% from Labour to Conservative Buckley, Bistre West on Flintshire (Lab defence) Result: Con 59 (8% no candidate last time), Lab 398 (54% +5% on…
Aldwick West on Arun (Con defence) Result: Con 480 (35% -17% on last time), Lab 112 (8%, no candidate last time), Lib Dem 719 (53% +35% on last time), Green 54 (4%, no candidate last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -30%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 239 (18%) on a swing of 26% from Con to Lib Dem Beaconsfield on Buckinghamshire (Con defence) Result: Con 1,298 (81% +11% on last time), Lib Dem 299 (19%…