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Category: By elections

Ladbrokes open market on the battle within LAB for Lewisham East

Ladbrokes open market on the battle within LAB for Lewisham East

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The @LadPolitics betting on who'll be the LAB candidate in the Lewisham East by-election pic.twitter.com/2WjmQZMgEA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2018 It is not often that opportunities come up between general elections to be selected as candidate for a party that won the seat with a 21k majority. Lewisham East is a plum target and no doubt there are dozens of aspiring LAB hopefuls who fancy their chances. Unless there is a massive upheaval then the winner of the…

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The early money goes on the LDs in Lewisham East

The early money goes on the LDs in Lewisham East

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The GE17 result from Lewisham East where there's to be a by-election. Looks like a LAB hold on reduced majority on low turnout pic.twitter.com/spDRfIkIyg — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 8, 2018 The parliament’s first mainland by election in a seat that was 64.5% Repmain We have waited a long time but now we have news of the first parliamentary by-election on the mainland since the last June’s General Election. The seat is Lewisham East which has been made vacant by…

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The winner of the first Westminster by-elections of the Parliament is unlikely even to take his seat

The winner of the first Westminster by-elections of the Parliament is unlikely even to take his seat

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Harry Hayfield on Thursday’s West Tyrone Parliamentary By-Election (Sinn Fein defence) This by-election is the 33rd by-election since the 2010 general election and is the 25th occasion when a by-election has been caused by an MP resigning their seat (75%). This compares with the eight years before then (2002 – 2010) when out of 21 by-elections 11 were caused by resigning MP’s (52%) and the reason for this? Fewer and fewer MP’s are dying in office. Indeed during the 1966…

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The Tories hold on against an SNP challenge in Scotland but lose 2 seats to the LDs in England

The Tories hold on against an SNP challenge in Scotland but lose 2 seats to the LDs in England

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Highland on Perth and Kinross (Con defence) Result: Con 1,907 (47% +2% on last time), Lab 239 (6% no candidate last time), Lib Dem 78 (2% -1% on last time), Green 104 (3% -1% on last time), Ind (Taylor) 280 (7%), Ind (Baykal) 12 (0%), SNP 1,466 (36% +1% on last time) Conservative lead over SNP of 441 (9%) on a swing of 0.5% from SNP to Con Total Independent vote: 292 (7% -4% on last time) No candidate elected…

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This week’s by-elections: A LAB & CON hold plus a CON loss to LD on a 41% swing

This week’s by-elections: A LAB & CON hold plus a CON loss to LD on a 41% swing

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St. Olaves on St. Edmundsbury (Lab defence) Result: Lab 365 (59% +27% on last time), Con 150 (24% -7% on last time), Ind 77 (12% -26% on last time), Lib Dem 31 (5%, no candidate last time) Labour HOLD with a majority of 215 (35%) on a swing of 17% from Con to Lab (26.5% from Ind to Lab) Middleton, Cheney on South Northamptonshire (Con defence) Result: Con 391 (42% -22% on last time), Lib Dem 316 (34%, no candidate…

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Gains for the LDs and Greens the highlights of this week’s local elections

Gains for the LDs and Greens the highlights of this week’s local elections

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Caol and Mallig on Highland (SNP defence) First Preferences: Con 183 (9% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 658 (31% +22% on last time), Campbell (Ind) 98 (5%), MacKinnon (Ind) 146 (7%), SNP 574 (27%, Wood (Ind) 454 (21%) (No Lab candidate this time -6%, Total Independent vote: 698 (33% -19% on last time) Liberal Democrat lead of 84 (4%) on a swing of 20.5% from Ind to Lib Dem No candidate elected on first count, Campbell (Ind) eliminated Second…

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Analysis of the Q1 local by-elections finds CON struggling to benefit from the almost total collapse if the UKIP vote

Analysis of the Q1 local by-elections finds CON struggling to benefit from the almost total collapse if the UKIP vote

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Vote changes from by-elections in previously CON held wards Vote changes from by-elections in previously LAB held wards Vote changes from by-elections in previously UKIP held wards The real story of the local by-elections in the first quarter (and I suspect one that will be repeated in just five weeks time) is the collapse of UKIP losing 90% of it’s vote compared to last time and showing that it’s not just UKIP voters now voting Con, but UKIP candidates not…

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CON, the LDs and SNP net gain of one each while LAB finish all square. This week’s local elections

CON, the LDs and SNP net gain of one each while LAB finish all square. This week’s local elections

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Penicuik on Midlothian (Lab defence) First Preference Votes: SNP 1,663 (35% unchanged on last time), Con 1,433 (30% +4% on last time), Lab 1,310 (28% +2% on last time), Green 344 (7% +1% on last time) (No Lib Dem candidate this time -7%) SNP lead on the first count of 230 on a swing of 2% from SNP to Con Estimated Lib Dem split: 57% to Con, 29% to Lab, 14% to Green No candidate elected on first count, Green…

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