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Category: BREXIT

The great REMAIN LEAVE divide reflected in the areas that have Premiership football clubs

The great REMAIN LEAVE divide reflected in the areas that have Premiership football clubs

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Footballing success comes to the places that voted against BREXIT Correlation, of course, is not causation but we hear so much these days about whether a particular area voted LEAVE or REMAIN that I thought it might be interesting to examine how this worked out in the English Premiership League. I’ve taken the BREXIT splits in the local authority areas where each of the 20 current members of the league are. Note that the two Manchester clubs have different numbers…

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Blindsided. Leavers have given the PM a free rein over the Article 50 negotiations and they’ll come to regret it

Blindsided. Leavers have given the PM a free rein over the Article 50 negotiations and they’ll come to regret it

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Embed from Getty Images From now on Theresa May can ignore Parliament Theresa May has striven mightily at every stage to avoid Parliamentary restraint on her Brexit negotiations with the rest of the EU.  She fought in the courts to the bitter end against the principle that the triggering of Article 50 required the prior approval from Parliament.  A White Paper was extracted out of the government in a manner akin to that used by Lord Olivier in Marathon Man. …

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UKIP: circling the whirlpool

UKIP: circling the whirlpool

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How does Nuttall save his party from irrelevance? UKIP was very good for Brexit: if the party had never been created, Britain would almost certainly still be a member of the European Union.* Brexit, by contrast, has been disastrous for UKIP. Stripped of their two greatest assets – their mission and by far their most effective leader – UKIP has struggled since last July to find a purpose or a direction. Compounded by internal divisions, the estrangement of their major…

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The €60 billion question. The EU exit charge and what it means

The €60 billion question. The EU exit charge and what it means

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Picture: The front page of yesterday’s Times newspaper. Alastair Meeks, who accurately predicted the outcome of the Article 50 case, looks at the looming Brexit divorce settlement. One of the many points that will be up for discussion as part of Britain leaving the EU is what Britain will pay as part of the divorce settlement, if anything.  Michel Barnier, the EU’s negotiator, is reportedly making a demand for €60 billion his opening gambit.  The UK government, backed up by…

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Mapping across – how the Brexit vote might translate onto the next general election

Mapping across – how the Brexit vote might translate onto the next general election

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(Source: Prof John Curtice) The referendum vote cut across party loyalties.  While Conservative supporters primarily voted Leave and Labour supporters primarily voted Remain, substantial minorities of both party supporters dissented from their colleagues.  This gives both major parties a potential headache about how to proceed in the wake of the vote, the more so because the British Election Study found in October that people were more likely to identify themselves as Remain or Leave supporters than followers of a particular…

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Unless LAB make a disastrous candidate choice then it’s hard to see them losing Gorton

Unless LAB make a disastrous candidate choice then it’s hard to see them losing Gorton

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A seat where 62.1% voted REMAIN should in theory be challenging for Corbyn’s LAB Yesterday I Tweeted expressing the wish that the next by-election along would be somewhere that voted to stay in the EU last June 23rd. Sadly that has come about following the death of the long-standing Labour MP, Sir Gerald Kaufman, at the age of 86. As can been seen by the map the seat is rather odd shaped covering an area to the south of Manchester…

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Are we seeing the Tony Blair effect on BREXIT? Those saying LEAVE vote “wrong” now same as those saying “right”

Are we seeing the Tony Blair effect on BREXIT? Those saying LEAVE vote “wrong” now same as those saying “right”

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The party splits show Corbyn out of line with party voters I love trackers because the same question is asked in exactly the same way each time the question is put so and as PBers will know I’ve regularly report the above BREXIT finding from YouGov. The latest movement is all within the margin of error and we need to see further polling before any conclusions can be drawn but it does come out at a key moment politically with…

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