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Category: BREXIT

For the 3rd successive month YouGov Brexit tracker has “wrong to leave” in lead

For the 3rd successive month YouGov Brexit tracker has “wrong to leave” in lead

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The chart shows the latest YouGov Brexit tracker in which the question is whether those polled think that in insight it was wrong or right for Britain to have voted to leave EU. This is not asking how people would vote in a new referendum or whether the Brexit process should be stopped. Keiran Pedley has suggested that the use of the word “wrong” might be influencing the response which is why this result can be different from other polls…

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To add to TMay’s gloom the latest ORB Brexit trackers don’t look good for her or the government

To add to TMay’s gloom the latest ORB Brexit trackers don’t look good for her or the government

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Bojo, Fox and Davis simply don’t inspire confidence It’s been a pretty dreadful 24 hours for what we describe as the “Government”. On top of the stresses caused by the abuse scandal we now have what seems like a massive cock-up by the the Foreign Secretary and the Patel meetings in Israel. Liam Fox, the Cameron’s Defence Sec until he got fired, is hardly inspiring in his international trade role a function that would appear vital in the post-Brexit world….

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Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference for who should succeed Mrs. May

Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference for who should succeed Mrs. May

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This, surely, is TMay’s greatest strength At some stage in the next 20 month or so the largely male and elderly membership of the Conservative party will vote on who should be the next Prime Minister – so we need to keep an eye on the regular ConHome surveys of party members. Although these are not what can be described as proper polls with representative samples they have in the past been showing a broadly similar picture to what YouGov…

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POLL ALERT: Ignore the hype. Brexit might be going badly, but that doesn’t mean people are changing their minds

POLL ALERT: Ignore the hype. Brexit might be going badly, but that doesn’t mean people are changing their minds

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New numbers from the Polling Matters / Opinium series show that public opinion on Brexit remains stubbornly fixed writes a returning Keiran Pedley There is a whiff of decay around Westminster at the moment and it is not just because parliament is falling down. The sexual harassment scandal that engulfs the government looks unlikely to end with the resignation of Michael Fallon whilst Theresa May’s premiership limps on with 53% of the British public dissatisfied with her performance as PM…

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How the government is imperilling its Brexit Bill

How the government is imperilling its Brexit Bill

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Alastair Meeks on the government’s strategy on Parliamentary votes Take back control, Vote Leave said.  Marching in part under a banner of restoring Parliamentary sovereignty, they stormed the barricades and secured their referendum victory. Since then, however, the enthusiasm of Camp Leave for Parliamentary sovereignty has been flaky at best.  The Brexit-trumpeting tabloids went berserk when first the High Court then the Supreme Court found that the triggering of Article 50, the exit clause from the EU, needed to be…

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From what Davis said, we need to think about a Limbo Brexit

From what Davis said, we need to think about a Limbo Brexit

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If talks go down to the wire, ratification will go beyond them Brexits are like fairies. There are good ones, bad ones and if you say it with enough feeling, they might not exist at all. What we haven’t heard much of so far – though given David Davis’ comments at the Select Committee this week, we should have done – is the Limbo Brexit. What is that, you might ask. In a somewhat numerically-challenged observation, Davis claimed that a…

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Month by month during 2017 how the “Leaving EU right” lead has moved in YouGov’s Brexit tracker

Month by month during 2017 how the “Leaving EU right” lead has moved in YouGov’s Brexit tracker

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There’s a new YouGov poll out which has LAB retaining its 2 points lead over CON. The survey also included the firm’s regular trackers on opinion in relation to Brexit. In broad terms this has Brexit right at 43% (up 1) with Brexit wrong at 45% (same) so really not much change. The big picture is seen in the chart above – the nation remains broadly divided with the monthly average “right to leave” lead for only the second month…

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Why people voted the way they did on Brexit and the huge gulf between Leave & Remain

Why people voted the way they did on Brexit and the huge gulf between Leave & Remain

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Ipsos MORI has Tweeted the above chart this afternoon which is based on polling carried out a year ago. Given that we know that little has changed in the overall view of Brexit then the assumption surely is that these figures stand the test of time. The priority of leavers was the capacity of Britain to make its own laws while Remainers were most concerned about the imapct on the economy which we’ve seen with Brexit devaluation of the pound….

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