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Category: BREXIT

If the senior Tory quoted here is right TMay will be out this autumn

If the senior Tory quoted here is right TMay will be out this autumn

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A senior Tory MP tells me chances of May being ousted this autumn are “100%” such is the rage at her handling of Brexit. Is she tonight pleading with Macron to give her something — anything — otherwise he will be dealing with Johnson or Gove? https://t.co/4o6beG4Id4 — Robert Harris (@Robert___Harris) August 3, 2018 On Betfair it’s a 38% chance that she’ll be out this year I’ll believe it when I see it. Tory MPs, surely, will only back a…

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Leave voters rate leaving the EU as more important than peace in Northern Ireland

Leave voters rate leaving the EU as more important than peace in Northern Ireland

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At Deltapoll, we asked Leave voters in Britain to choose between leaving the #EU and peace in #NorthernIreland. Nearly 6 out of 10 said the UK leaving the EU was more important. #Brexit pic.twitter.com/0FqMJAJZgN — Joe Twyman (@JoeTwyman) July 31, 2018 Do they really want a return to the killings? I must say that I find the above poll finding quite shocking. It is a reflection on just how our memories can fade and also my age. The troubles in…

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The Brexit day party

The Brexit day party

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Looming over the back of all the sound and fury of our day to day politics is the inexorable approach of Brexit day. The 29th of March 2019 will be the day when something happens, maybe. We will start an orderly transition to somewhere, or an abrupt and disorderly crunch into somewhere else. There will be some kind of Brexit that might happen, whether it’s hard or soft (my personal bet is on squidgy). Unless we get an extension, which…

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If today’s SkyData poll is on the money Brexiters should begin to worry

If today’s SkyData poll is on the money Brexiters should begin to worry

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SkyData poll find backing for second referendum by 10% margin pic.twitter.com/DquF6haFJc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2018 By 52% to 35% those sampled in SkyData poll think Brexit will be bad for the economy pic.twitter.com/kDvDxCplQl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2018 From today's SkyData poll – what would be preferred Brexit option pic.twitter.com/g0JTjFqL7J — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2018

Ex-LAB MP Nick Palmer puts the case for a new election

Ex-LAB MP Nick Palmer puts the case for a new election

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Quite naturally, most of the focus lately has been on Mrs May’s increasingly desperate attempts to reach a deal which steers between the Scylla of EU rejection and the Charybdis of ERG revolt. She may yet succeed. If she does, however, it is clear that it will be a narrow squeeze, built on navigation by fudge, postponement of key decisions and general statements of intent to patch the timbers of the ship where water is pouring in. It is possible…

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The road to No Deal: Brexit’s Rubik’s Cube may simply be too difficult

The road to No Deal: Brexit’s Rubik’s Cube may simply be too difficult

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There are too many conflicting interests to simultaneously satisfy Rubik’s cubes were very much a craze when I was at primary school in the early 1980s. I had one, my friends had one and millions of people across the world had them. No-one I know ever solved one though. Sure, you could solve one side easily enough but to solve all six? Certainly it was possible – you saw people on television doing it – but we simply didn’t understand…

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For the first time YouGov finds more supporting a second referendum than opposing

For the first time YouGov finds more supporting a second referendum than opposing

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For first-time YouGov in poll for the Times finds more voters wanting a second referendum then not pic.twitter.com/tPb5OlFUNQ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 27, 2018 There’s a new YouGov poll in the Times which has 42% wanting a second referendum against 40% who don’t. This is significant because it is the first time that the pollster’s second referendum tracker has found this result and, undoubtedly, will increase the clamour for it to take place. The exact wording of the tracker…

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Corbyn’s Brexit speech isn’t going to endear him to large parts of LAB’s voting base

Corbyn’s Brexit speech isn’t going to endear him to large parts of LAB’s voting base

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Corbyn is going full Trump: "… a "build it in Britain" speech, in which Mr Corbyn will also attack the use of "cheap labour from abroad" and demand government contracts are kept in Britain instead of being given to "companies outside the UK".https://t.co/Jee3gZ2n3R — David Hirsh (@DavidHirsh) July 24, 2018