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Category: BREXIT

The Adonis assertion that there’s going to be a second referendum fails to convince punters

The Adonis assertion that there’s going to be a second referendum fails to convince punters

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Labour peer Lord Adonis rules out the possibility of a general election over Brexit gridlock, instead considering a referendum more likely in 2019. Click here for the latest Brexit news: https://t.co/XHe3BeFcGK pic.twitter.com/3NJvhYGcSi — Sky News Politics (@SkyNewsPolitics) November 20, 2018 The second referendum betting has been narrowing but still punters only give it a 38% chance. Chart from @betdatapolitics pic.twitter.com/dQWTZTihVM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 20, 2018 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Taking stock. Brexit – just where are we and what are the options

Taking stock. Brexit – just where are we and what are the options

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So a Shopping Centre on the Isle of Man just had their Christmas decorations done… ? pic.twitter.com/4s8MMsd9zn — Liam Rice (@li4miom) November 18, 2018 Christmas comes ever earlier each year. When I was a child, we didn’t hear anything about it until 1 December, when Radio 1 broke out the Christmas tracks. Contrast that with this year. Aldi launched their Christmas advert with Kevin the carrot on 9 November. John Lewis unveiled Elton John for their Christmas campaign on 15 November. And poor Theresa…

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A big reason TMay is defying political gravity is because of the possible alternatives

A big reason TMay is defying political gravity is because of the possible alternatives

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Last year my biggest political betting loss was on Theresa May not surviving. Like many others after her disappointing GE2017 outcome I was ready to write off her chances of staying at number 10. Well 18 months on she is still there and I now approach the end of the year with completely the opposite betting position. My money is on the Prime Minister being the Prime Minister and Tory leader at the end of the year. This is a…

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The DUP would be taking a big gamble defying Northern Ireland’s farmers on Brexit

The DUP would be taking a big gamble defying Northern Ireland’s farmers on Brexit

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Problems building on the DUP's home patch over its approach to TMay's Brexit deal https://t.co/qFJd5AhNnA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 17, 2018 The assumption that the DUP will automatically oppose TMay’s Brexit deal might not be the case as pressure is building up amongst the Province’s farmers many of whom support the party. The Observer is reporting that the powerful Northern Ireland Farmer’s Union has told Arlene Foster’s party that its 10 Westminster MPs should vote for the deal. The…

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So the Deal’s going down. Then what?

So the Deal’s going down. Then what?

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    May’s numbers don’t add up for now. Is the threat of No Deal enough to change minds? You have to salute her indefatigability. Despite the Prime Minister being just about the only MP prepared to champion the government’s Brexit Deal, despite the loss of another two cabinet ministers, plus various other more junior ones, despite the letters of No Confidence openly going in to the Chairman of the 1922, despite the three hours of parliamentary pummelling she took…

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A massive Westminster day ends with TMay still in place

A massive Westminster day ends with TMay still in place

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The “bloody difficult woman” will be difficult to shift Although I disagree with her on so many things you can but admire the way she is holding on and battling forward in spite of all the obstacles and setbacks. This was always going to be a very difficult period for the Prime Minister who took over shortly after the referendum in July 2016 never more so than today. Throughout she has made as her objective ensuring that the referendum outcome…

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If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

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After an extraordinary 24hrs at Westminster in which a total, as I write, of six ministers having resigned all the talk now is that Theresa May could soon be facing a confidence vote. For this to happen it requires 48 different CON MPs to write to the chairman of the 1922 committee, Graham Brady, asking for such a move to take place. Jacob Rees-Mogg has announced that he has sent a letter in and has indicated that he might support…

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