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TMay is the odds-on favourite to win a TV Brexit debate with Corbyn

TMay is the odds-on favourite to win a TV Brexit debate with Corbyn

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TMay is the betting favourite to overcome Labour leader Corbyn if the two clash in an TV debate on the proposed Brexit deal. The online bookmaker Betway, sides with the Prime Minster at 4/6 over Corbyn, 11/10, with the pair expected to exchange views ahead of Parliament’s vote on the Brexit deal on Tuesday 11th December. Outside of the big two, it’s the Scottish National Party that Betway believe could be involved in the debate, with leader Nicola Sturgeon just…

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Survation-Daily Mail poll finds growing support for TMay’s Brexit deal

Survation-Daily Mail poll finds growing support for TMay’s Brexit deal

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Now more support than oppose The big overnight Brexit news is a Survation poll for the Daily Mail conducted yesterday which is being splashed all over its front page as can be seen above. The big news is that on comparative questions there has been a significant increase in those supporting the deal compared with similar questions which were put by Survation in a poll on November 15th. Clearly this is good news for Theresa May who has started to…

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Punters rate TMay’s chances of getting the Brexit deal agreed by MPs this years at 14%

Punters rate TMay’s chances of getting the Brexit deal agreed by MPs this years at 14%

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This represents something of a recovery! Unlike one or two of her predecessors I am not aware that Theresa May follows political betting and the way the odds are changing. If she had have done she would have noticed about 6pm this evening the chances of her getting the brexit vote agreed before the end of the year was down to 3.3%. Since then has been something of a recovery and now on Betfair it’s trading about 14%. But we…

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Once again the money’s going on TMay not making it to the end of the year

Once again the money’s going on TMay not making it to the end of the year

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Her best bet now pic.twitter.com/s0QZJFCJaP — Kevin Maguire (@Kevin_Maguire) November 27, 2018 Now a 28% chance on Betfair The incredible uncertainty about politics at the moment continues and now there is more speculation that Theresa May might be out this year. She could decide to go of her own accord or end up getting voted down by MPs. That of course means 48 letters on real paper to Graham Brady demanding a confidence vote. There’ve been developments on that during…

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The bookies open the Commons deal betting making rejection the odds on-favourite

The bookies open the Commons deal betting making rejection the odds on-favourite

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But read the terms of the market After yesterday’s historic agreement attention now turns to whether the House of Commons is going to accept what Mrs May has agreed with the EU. Several bookies have markets up at all of them with opening odds that the deal will be rejected. Betway has it at 1/3 that this will be the outcome and also that Theresa May is just 10/11 to be replaced during 2019. Betfair has launched what I think…

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Monkey’s paw. Delivering on the referendum campaign promises

Monkey’s paw. Delivering on the referendum campaign promises

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Voters overwhelmingly now remember only two arguments being made in favour of Brexit before the referendum: curb immigration & more money for the NHS. pic.twitter.com/6bmcd3Tvwk — Andrew Cooper (@AndrewCooper__) February 9, 2018 In the end, Theresa May has been more faithful to the referendum mandate than most Leave advocates. In 2016, the Leave campaign focussed on just two things: diverting the EU contributions into the NHS and scaring the public into believing that millions of Turks were poised to invade. It succeeded….

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The Telegraph leading on May’s TV Corbyn debate plan

The Telegraph leading on May’s TV Corbyn debate plan

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At least she’s taking the initiative This reminds me very much Tony Blair in the period leading up to the Iraq War. That, it will be recalled, saw massive demonstrations and Commons revolts but in the end the UK joined the US in going to war. The hardline Brexiteers would have been in a stronger position now if they’d put the grunt work in and had had an alternative plan. Anyway another week begins. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

After an historic morning in Brussels the betting remains that Brexit will happen on time & TMay will survive until at least 2019

After an historic morning in Brussels the betting remains that Brexit will happen on time & TMay will survive until at least 2019

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The uncertainties remain I’m taking profits on my TMay surviving 2018 bet because I think there’s just an outside chance that she could quit if the Commons votes against her plan. That would happen before Christmas. One thing that’s happened during her premiership is that ultimately she’s won just about all the main votes on Brexit. Things might look bleak now but is Labour really going to risk being tarred with having made a no deal exit to actually happen?…

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