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Category: BREXIT

Corbyn’s “Brexit goes ahead if LAB won snap election” arouses furious response from many witihn his party

Corbyn’s “Brexit goes ahead if LAB won snap election” arouses furious response from many witihn his party

Corbyn faces furious Labour backlash over backing Brexit https://t.co/BXrnYJbJnk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 23, 2018 Fuck you, Jeremy. A great big, left wing, liberal, child-of-an-immigrant, product of globalisation, Europe-loving *FUCK* *YOU*. Just angry I fell for yr holier-than-thou-ness & yr appearance of wanting the right thing for yr own country. Just a big old lie. You need to go, now. https://t.co/fLxfum8joJ — G #blacklivesmatter #noPlanetB #keepitintheground (@eurasiafantasia) December 21, 2018 I was a Labour Party member for 20 years….

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This surely hits the nail on the head – Corbyn would prefer TMay’s deal to go through than risk another referendum

This surely hits the nail on the head – Corbyn would prefer TMay’s deal to go through than risk another referendum

I’ve never been more convinced that Corbyn privately wants May’s deal to pass – perhaps even with the unauthorised support of some of his own MPs. Have always said, if Lab leadership wanted another vote to be Lab policy it would be. Simple as that. They don’t and it isn’t. — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) December 22, 2018 With this tweet Keiran Pedley, of the PB/Polling Matters podcast sets out what to my mind is a very strong pointer. From the…

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Why Corbyn could be the one to extend Article 50 in the New Year

Why Corbyn could be the one to extend Article 50 in the New Year

The Brexit vote could give him a few days of government – what would he do with it? FTPA doesn’t just stand for Fixed Term Parliaments Act; it can equally be Freedom to Piss About, which seems appropriate given the casually reckless approach taken to the Brexit ratification process by just about all sides. The government willingly risks no deal as a bargaining tactic to better the chances of its own deal being agreed; Labour willingly risks it to increase…

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New Northern Ireland polling suggests that a no deal Brexit could lead to what the IRA never achieved – a united Ireland

New Northern Ireland polling suggests that a no deal Brexit could lead to what the IRA never achieved – a united Ireland

How the Brexit hard-liners are gambling with the Union Generally speaking Northern Ireland gets ignored in national polls which are confined to England, Wales and Scotland. This is because the party structure in the province is very different with most people voting on sectarian lines. This Northern Ireland polling from Lucid Talk seeks to test opinion on possible impact of a no deal Brexit on the future of the province and whether there is more or less support for unification…

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Dangerous corner. Where would we be now if Remain had won 52:48?

Dangerous corner. Where would we be now if Remain had won 52:48?

The musical cigarette box played the Wedding March. Britain chose narrowly but decisively to vote to leave the EU. One of the frustrations with the universe that we live in is that we never get to see what would have happened if things had panned out differently.   What if the country had chosen differently? Imagine if Remain had won by the same narrow margin.  Where would we be now? Here’s one possibility… David Cameron had got so far sketching…

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Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to leave the EU?

Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to leave the EU?

I rather like this betting market which asks which of the two events will happen first – Theresa May ceasing to be Prime Minister or the UK actually leaving the EU. With uncertainties over both events this is quite a good match. My guess as we get closer to the March 29th article 50 deadline that this will see a fair bit of activity and no doubt the leave EU price will move to the favourite slot if the Theresa…

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It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marginal gained by LAB from CON at GE17

It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marginal gained by LAB from CON at GE17

Fiona Onasanya: Peterborough MP guilty in speeding case – Could be by-election in seat gained by LAB from CON at GE17https://t.co/TetDWtgYmR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2018 The last two general elections in Peterborough where the LAB MP has been found guilty of perverting the course of justice pic.twitter.com/6ebLldWPdx — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2018 What appears to be a very interesting by-election is in prospect following the conviction this afternoon of the Peterborough MP. She has been…

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Why the Northern Ireland border has been such a difficult issue

Why the Northern Ireland border has been such a difficult issue

I’ve just come across an article by John McTernan, Tony Blair’s former director of political operations, which explains very clearly why the Northern Ireland border is such an issue in the Brexit negotiations. “.. there is no concession that can be given on the backstop or, as it should properly be considered, Northern Ireland. The fundamental problem here is not the intransigence of the Irish government not the trickery of the European Union. It is, put bluntly, because the UK…

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