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Category: BREXIT

Theresa May – the wrong woman for her time?

Theresa May – the wrong woman for her time?

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So this is how constitutional settlements are brokered: not at a measured pace with Olympian detachment and the wisdom of Solomon but at high speed in a blind funk with a deal cobbled together in shadowy alcoves. It’s not pretty. It’s also something that the Prime Minister must hate. Successful governing politicians who have to answer to the electorate often try to avoid making hard choices. Angela Merkel has been so effective at this that her name has been verbed…

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Desperate times. A new way out of the Brexit impasse

Desperate times. A new way out of the Brexit impasse

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8/ So the Government can't pass its deal The Government can't negotiate a new deal There is no Parliamentary support for No Deal The Opposition can't force an election The Tories can't call a Leadership challenge Immovable object meets brick fucking wall pic.twitter.com/qL16HuqMDO — James Graham (@mrJamesGraham) January 16, 2019 The train is hurtling down the track and the cliff edge of 11pm on 29 March 2019 approaches. The overwhelming majority of the House of Commons is unwilling to countenance…

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Now we’ve got some non-YouGov polls showing CON leads the position looks a tad less good for LAB

Now we’ve got some non-YouGov polls showing CON leads the position looks a tad less good for LAB

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Including the three new polls published tonight all the voting intention surveys so far in 2019 from Wikipedia pic.twitter.com/lzC2jqualW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 19, 2019 With three new voting intention polls out in the past couple of hours this has been the biggest evening for Westminster surveys June 7th 2017 – the day before the last general election. One of the positive things for LAB until this evening is that no other pollster than YouGov had shown a CON…

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A Customs Union deal needs to be on the table if No Deal is to be avoided

A Customs Union deal needs to be on the table if No Deal is to be avoided

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The only way to get Brexit Deal votes is to go softer It’s lonely at the top. It’s probably lonelier if you cut yourself off and isolate yourself from your colleagues, even if they are after their own interests and your own job. This last week has proven just how politically lonely Theresa May is, yet still she carries on. There’s something admirable in that and perhaps it’s no small part of the explanation for the rise in rise in…

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Some comfort for TMay from YouGov – 56% of those polled have felt sympathy for her

Some comfort for TMay from YouGov – 56% of those polled have felt sympathy for her

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Sympathy for Theresa May has risen over the past few months, but only slightly. 56% of Brits now say they have felt sympathy for her at some point (up 7% from September), but 37% say they never have https://t.co/DOSE0MCAhV pic.twitter.com/AA2wdR8uD6 — YouGov (@YouGov) January 18, 2019 It’s not going to make getting Brexit through any easier Even amongst LAB voters there’s a relatively high percentage holding this view – 43% against 52% who haven’t. There’s quite a gender divide with…

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As the Tory Brexit crisis continues Corbyn’s “Best PM” ratings drop to post GE2017 low

As the Tory Brexit crisis continues Corbyn’s “Best PM” ratings drop to post GE2017 low

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Chart @Statto And Cable puts the pressure on Corbyn over 2nd referendum https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1085897750384906242 By 76% to 15% current LAB supporters tell YouGov that in hindsight the referendum vote to leave the EU was wrong.https://t.co/rGi3BWzYWo — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 17, 2019 A fast moving day following the Tory victory in last night’s Commons confidence vote has seen the focus on Mr, Corbyn who has refused to meet the PM. In another move the LD leader, Vince Cable, has told Corbyn…

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If there’s a second referendum then LEAVE’s “Tell them Again” message would likely win the day

If there’s a second referendum then LEAVE’s “Tell them Again” message would likely win the day

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With increasing regularity at the moment the national Westminster polls are asking how respondents would vote if there was a new referendum on Brexit. In the main the responses a fairly similar with those wanting to stay in the EU having a lead between 7 and 10%. I am not convinced there has been that much switching. Being a Leaver or remainer is almost akin to supporting City or United in Manchester. You are one side or the other but…

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Now what?

Now what?

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There are no good options from now on, no cost-free ones, anyway. There never were. If this point had been made 2½ years ago – and indeed at any point thereafter – we might not be where we are now.  So now what? Well, for those who want a No Deal Brexit doing nothing is the best option.  Just wait.  Tick. Tock. …… Until 11 pm on Friday 29th March 2019. Exciting, isn’t it? Like  small children waiting for Father…

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