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Category: BREXIT

“Honouring” the referendum should apply to not just to the outcome but what the official Leave campaign said

“Honouring” the referendum should apply to not just to the outcome but what the official Leave campaign said

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They were also promising this. We’ve got the monstrosity of Settled Status instead. pic.twitter.com/41dNhKvENw — Catherine Redmond?#People’sVote #FBPE????? (@Redmo8Catherine) October 13, 2019 Things are different now the country’s being led by Cummings/Johnson Lots of talk at moment about “honouring the Referendum”. Fair enough. Those who espouse that seem to look to the result itself rather than the promises and assertions made my the official Leave campaign in the run up to the June 23rd 2016 vote. It was harder to…

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With 16 days to go punters make it just a 22% chance that UK will leave the EU by the end of the month

With 16 days to go punters make it just a 22% chance that UK will leave the EU by the end of the month

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Chart of movements on the Betfair exchange from betdata.io The big news for those betting on whether there will be an exit from the EU this month within the Article 50 deadline is that the market rates the chances of a deal this week as being less likely. What we should read into that is hard to say. The EU has a long history of things going right to the wire and there must be just a possibility that something…

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By the end of the week we just might have a better idea of which of these Brexit options will be the winner

By the end of the week we just might have a better idea of which of these Brexit options will be the winner

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Ladbrokes And we could see moves for a confirmatory referendum The phrase from the mid-1960s originated by the then LAB general election winner and PM, Harold Wilson that “a week is a long time in politics” has continued to have resonance over the decades. No doubt we will he hear references to it this week when so much is on the agenda. There are so many unknowns. Will what was agreed between the UK and Irish PMs at the meeting…

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Six of the top seven in the betting on Corbyn’s successor are women

Six of the top seven in the betting on Corbyn’s successor are women

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Chart of Betfair exchange prices from betdata.io How will leadership hopefuls vote on the key Commons brexit moves? With Corbyn’s announcement that he’ll step down if he fails to lead LAB to victory in the general election there’s renewed interest in the betting on who will be the successor. We could be only a few months from a contest. Two factors stand out. Firstly there’s a widespread view within the movement, including from the boss of UNITE, that LAB needs…

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At the end of the tunnel

At the end of the tunnel

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If anyone is wondering what a negotiating “tunnel” is, it’s just Brussels jargon for trying a bit harder not to leak everything — Jon Stone (@joncstone) October 11, 2019 One of the many quirks of Brexit is that things look brightest when we’re in a tunnel. The announcement on Friday that the government’s latest proposals had gone into private intensive discussions caused market sentiment to soar, as well as the hopes of many political observers. What does it all mean? …

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2020 or later now betting favourite for when the next general election will be held

2020 or later now betting favourite for when the next general election will be held

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On a big political day the money on Betfair, according to the detdata.io has been going on the next general election taking place next year or later. This option has just edged December from the favourite slot. I’ve never been convinced of December because staging such a vote when the day’s are shortest and voters attentions are focused on the holiday never looked like a possibility. Meanwhile Corbyn has announced that he’ll step down as LAB leader if his party…

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The mood changes on Brexit but the devil will be in the detail

The mood changes on Brexit but the devil will be in the detail

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A UK Brexit by the end of the year now 38% betting favourite Judging by today’s front pages the prospect for a deal on the UK’s withdrawal from the EU look better than ever. Certainly Johnson’s meeting with his Irish counterpart on the Wirral yesterday looks very promising but at the moment we do not know exactly what concessions have been made and whether that will be acceptable to the DUP. A political problem of course is that there are…

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The pressure mounts from Britain’s biggest car manufacturer

The pressure mounts from Britain’s biggest car manufacturer

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NEW: Nissan Europe chairman Gianluca de Ficchy has said a no-deal Brexit would put its entire business model in Europe “in jeopardy” and that it “won’t be sustainable”. — Josh Halliday (@JoshHalliday) October 10, 2019 De Ficchy said the firm was well prepared operationally for “a crisis situation” but that “the first thing we need to have is clarity,” adding: “My message is that today as a business we do not have a clear understanding on the future evolution of…

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