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Category: Boundary Reviews

So far, at least, Clegg and the Lib Dems do not seem to be paying a price for last week’s veto on the boundary changes

So far, at least, Clegg and the Lib Dems do not seem to be paying a price for last week’s veto on the boundary changes

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So far at least last week’s Clegg boundaries veto doesn’t seem to have impacted on the polling twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 6, 2013 Is it now just a footnote? Just eight days ago the big political news was the expected rejection by the Commons of plans to reduce the number of MPs to 600 and introduce new boundaries. There was fury from the blue side with words like “betrayal” coming out – yet this maelstrom doesn’t seem to…

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The boundaries: At least, either way, it will all be over tonight

The boundaries: At least, either way, it will all be over tonight

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+++Breaking CON loses #GE2015 +++@tnewtondunnAngus Robertson to confirm SNP WILL vote against the Govt and the boundaries review tonight. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2013 Tory boundary changes rebels: Glyn Davies, Philip Davies, David Davis. — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) January 29, 2013 Latest #GE2015 Commons seats line betting prices from Ladbrokes: CON 278.5: LAB 309.5: LD 32.5. You bet evens up/downbit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2013 Unless there is some remarkably bad management by the LAB and…

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The #GE2010 seats:votes ratio hardly suggests that the electoral system is biased against the Tories

The #GE2010 seats:votes ratio hardly suggests that the electoral system is biased against the Tories

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Based on the 2010 SEATS:VOTES ratio it’s hard to argue that the electoral system is biased against Tories. See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2013 Other parties have much stronger cases We are here. The day that the Commons decide on the boundaries issue and no doubt there’ll be lots of moans and groans from Team Blue about how the system is biased against them. But is that the case? Based on how many voters it required…

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The boundary changes are nearly dead

The boundary changes are nearly dead

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The unelected “Lords” vote on how MPs are elected. The boundary changes are almost dead. bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 14, 2013 See full BBC report here.

By May 2015 Cameron’s decision to campaign hard against AV might not look very smart

By May 2015 Cameron’s decision to campaign hard against AV might not look very smart

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How UKIP is eating into the CON vote – pie chart of CON 2010 voters from today’s YouGov data. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 11, 2013 Under FPTP LAB is the main winner The pie chart above is derived from today’s YouGov polling and shows the current voting intentions of those who supported Dave’s party in 2010. The 2010 data is based on polling carried out by YouGov immediatly after the election and not how polling respondents remember it…

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Could the Etonian whose actions cost the Tories 20 seats really succeed Cameron?

Could the Etonian whose actions cost the Tories 20 seats really succeed Cameron?

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Ladbrokes move Etonian Jesse Norman next CON leader price from 50/1 to 33/1 following Speccie article. This is him. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2013 There’s been a flurry of activity following an article by Bruce Anderson in the Spectator tipping Jesse Norman to be Dave’s successor. Norman, who entered the commons in May 2010, came to prominence in July 2012 when he organised and led the hugely successful rebellion that ensured that the upper house would continue…

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The Tories are seeking to bribe several smaller parties to secure their 20 seat boundary bonus

The Tories are seeking to bribe several smaller parties to secure their 20 seat boundary bonus

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The Tories launch a multi-party effort to save their 20 seat boundary bonus, www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=53646 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 This could decide the general election Judging from press reports and other initiatives over the weekend the Tories have launched a multi-pronged effort to try to secure the new parliamentary seat boundaries which give them a 20 seat bonus and make the possibility of a majority that bit more possible. The first focus has been on their coalition…

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CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest

CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest

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Ex-Lib Dem CEO, Lord Rennard, backs move to kill off boundary changes until 2018. @paulwaughpolho.me/RqTNK7 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 This has the backing of Nick Clegg? Thanks to Paul Waugh at PoliticsHome for this but a Labour move in the Lords to put the boundary review back to 2018 is being supported by the ex-Chief Executive of the Lib Dems, Lord (Chris) Rennard. Waugh wondered whether Rennard was acting along on this. I’ve just had it…

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