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Category: Boris

Nigel Farage reportedly looking to do Corbyn’s dirty work and help Labour gain Boris Johnson’s seat

Nigel Farage reportedly looking to do Corbyn’s dirty work and help Labour gain Boris Johnson’s seat

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This week’s Spectator reports that Rumours are circulating that Farage’s aim is to destroy the leader he fears most: Boris Johnson. This is more doable than it might sound. The former foreign secretary holds a 5,000 majority in Uxbridge —respectable, but not a lifetime guarantee, given the volatility of contemporary politics and London’s drift away from the Tories. Word is that Farage is considering standing against Boris in the next general election. He’d lose. But he might take Johnson down…

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Boris could once again suffer the curse of being the long term CON leadership favourite

Boris could once again suffer the curse of being the long term CON leadership favourite

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Chart betdata.io How the betting moved ahead of the 2016 race We all know the truism from Conservative leadership contests that the person who most likely seems to be the successor never gets it. Michael Heseltine, Michael Portillo and David Davis would no doubt attest to the difficulty of being the long-term favourite I love looking at historical betting charts showing how punters were observing and risking their money on a big political outcome in the past where we have…

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The favourite to succeed TMay as CON leader, a Mr. Johnson, gets his knuckles wrapped for a fake polling report

The favourite to succeed TMay as CON leader, a Mr. Johnson, gets his knuckles wrapped for a fake polling report

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In January Mr. Johnson wrote in his Telegraph column that: “Of all the options suggested by pollsters – staying in the EU, coming out on Theresa May ’ terms, or coming out on World Trade terms – it is the last, the so-called no-deal option, that is gaining in popularity. In spite of – or perhaps because of – everything they have been told, it is this future that is by some margin preferred by the British public.” A reader…

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Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange On the face of it a lot could be decided today that will give us a clearer view of Britain’s and Theresa May’s political Futures. The two are clearly interlinked. With even some of her most hostile opponents within the parliamentary party now supporting her deal the prime minister is facing her backbenchers this afternoon when it’s widely expected that she’ll be pressed strongly to give an indication of her exit date….

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Boris’s CON leadership betting spurt appears to have run out of steam and others are moving up

Boris’s CON leadership betting spurt appears to have run out of steam and others are moving up

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It is inevitable with all the political moves relating to the prime minister that there is a lot of betting focus at the moment on who will succeed her both as CON leader and also Prime Minister. Last week as the Betdata.io chart shows the money moved to the former mayor and former foreign secretary who has hired Lynton Crosby to run his leadership campaign, Mr Johnson. That’s evaporated but he’s still favourite though there are four or five others…

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The Brexit deal is being put to the Cabinet one by one

The Brexit deal is being put to the Cabinet one by one

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But what are the chances of success? So the brexit process moves a step forward with a broad agreement that Theresa May now has to sell to her cabinet, then her party, and then the House of Commons. Each of these hurdles looks insurmountable but then Theresa May has got over many obstacles in the 18 months since she lost the party its majority and is determined enough to push this as hard as she is able. If Brexiteers like…

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If Boris Johnson is putting the CTF band together the last time they worked together he was massively overstated in the polls

If Boris Johnson is putting the CTF band together the last time they worked together he was massively overstated in the polls

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Don’t be seduced by massive Johnson leads. History suggests Boris isn’t as personally popular as the polls would have you believe. The Times reported earlier on this week that An aide to the campaigning guru Sir Lynton Crosby was seen at Boris Johnson’s home yesterday morning, hours before his conference rally. In the clearest sign yet of how closely the former foreign secretary is working with Sir Lynton’s company, Mimi Randolph, a staffer at CTF Partners, was pictured leaving his…

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How the next CON leader betting market has moved since last year’s Conference

How the next CON leader betting market has moved since last year’s Conference

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A Mr. Johnson still favourite but Javid very close I love these historical charts of Betfair trades from Betdata.io and they are particularly interesting when you have events like the party conferences. The man I’m working hard not to call just by his first name is still there in the favourite slot but the big gainers during the year have been the Home Secretary, Sajid Javid, and the BrexSec, Dominic Raab. Both got promotions since the 2017 conference. I’ve never…

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