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Category: Boris

The idea that BoJo has some magical means of reaching LAB or pro-Brexit voters isn’t backed up by his record

The idea that BoJo has some magical means of reaching LAB or pro-Brexit voters isn’t backed up by his record

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Let's not forget that LAB secured a 6.5% swing against Boris at GE2017. That hardly suggests he can reach voters that others can't pic.twitter.com/DpsvZahKoN — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 10, 2019 At Uxbridge Johnson performed worse than the London Tory average One of the apparent great selling points for Johnson to his party is that somehow he has a means of reaching voters that other Tories do not have. Therefore, his supporters argue, he is the man to take the…

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The Tory race is crowded but there is value there

The Tory race is crowded but there is value there

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Even after the recent lengthening of his odds, Boris is still over-fancied When a dozen candidates declare their candidacy for a party leadership, it’s not a sign of strength. Certainly, it’s entirely possible to go too far the other way and allow a flawed but dominant candidate in by default, but an excess of candidates points to a lack of confidence in the leading runners among the second string. There are, of course, other reasons why also-rans might give the…

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Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

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World exclusive: Trump backs Boris to be Britain’s next PM with highly controversial intervention into Tory contest. "I know the different players. But I think Boris would do a very good job. He would be excellent”.https://t.co/Qt0zjwwePJ — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 31, 2019 I’m not sure being Donald Trump’s preferred choice as Prime Minister will ultimately help Boris Johnson. TSE

Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

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Right now British politics and British political betting is consumed by the race for next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister. Conventional wisdom on both is that Boris Johnson is the man to beat. He has traded below evens on Betfair for the roles and after an initial rush of excitement, he has settled down in both next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister markets at about 5/2 at the time of writing. Certainly there is evidence to back up…

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Remembering the time Boris Johnson implied Tory defectors to Farage’s party are the kind of people who have sex with vacuum cleaners

Remembering the time Boris Johnson implied Tory defectors to Farage’s party are the kind of people who have sex with vacuum cleaners

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If as anticipated the Brexit party wins the European elections well ahead of the Conservatives then I expect the discussion will move towards who will be best placed to win the support of the Brexit Party’s voters and many will say Boris Johnson but that will be a mistake, here’s why. Nigel Farage would ruthlessly exploit the past comments of Boris, for example the pre referendum comments by Boris Johnson about ‘support[ing] a second referendum on Britain’s relationship with the…

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The bets continue to pile on BoJo for next CON leader and PM

The bets continue to pile on BoJo for next CON leader and PM

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange Although the timing of Theresa May’s departure as prime minister and CON leader has yet to be confirmed there’s little doubt that we are very close to a party leadership election which will be unique. For the first time party members will be deciding on who should be the next Prime Minister. It should be recalled that previous CON leadership contests which have gone to the membership have been whilst the party…

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Boost for Johnson in the first CON membership poll since TMay announced her exit timetable

Boost for Johnson in the first CON membership poll since TMay announced her exit timetable

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? ? ? New YouGov poll of Tory members for @thetimes puts @BorisJohnson well out in front(Though he is also bottom choice for a sizeable group) – Johnson would prefer not to be frontrunner – Raab in strong position– Poor Hancock Loads more detail: https://t.co/HjTbrKZmS4 pic.twitter.com/MUQ5Ij1cS9 — Matt Chorley (@MattChorley) May 17, 2019 His biggest hurdle’s still getting through the MPs round Quick off the mark we now have the first YouGov poll of CON members following the news that…

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The biggest barrier to a Tory Leaver succeeding Mrs May might well be other Tory Leavers

The biggest barrier to a Tory Leaver succeeding Mrs May might well be other Tory Leavers

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Quite the story in today's Sunday Times. Steve Baker is 200/1 with BetFred and 150/1 with Ladbrokes, PaddyPower, and SkyBet to succeed Mrs May as next PM. I've decided to back him. Angels and ministers of grace defend us! https://t.co/TFWXzA7eG6 pic.twitter.com/olHIbFk4TD — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 12, 2019 If Steve Baker stands he could damage the chances of a Leaver winning or he might just win My view is that if the Tory Leavers want to ensure of their own succeeds…

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