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Why Starmer is not going to let go of the issue of Johnson not acting quickly enough on COVID19

Why Starmer is not going to let go of the issue of Johnson not acting quickly enough on COVID19

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One of the great sources of analysis during the pandemic has been on Radio 4’s “More of Less” programme which each week subjects big issues in the news to statistical analysis. It has just finished its current series and its last programme was basically a summation of how the pandemic evolved. It is well worth listening to here . Inevitably the issue of timing of the government’s decision in March is subject to scrutiny and a clear view is developing…

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Tonight’s Keiran Pedley Ipsos-MORI podcast: Assessing the Conservative Party under Boris Johnson

Tonight’s Keiran Pedley Ipsos-MORI podcast: Assessing the Conservative Party under Boris Johnson

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This week Kieran Pedley is joined by former Deputy Chief of Staff to David Cameron, Baroness Kate Fall and by Asa Bennett, Brexit Editor at the Daily Telegraph. Interspersed with insights from Ipsos MORI polling, they look at the state the Conservative Party finds itself in now; how it might differ from the party led by David Cameron; and the challenge posed to the future of the Conservatives in government by the election of Keir Starmer as leader of the…

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The Strange Rebirth of Liberal Unionism

The Strange Rebirth of Liberal Unionism

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What is Liberal Unionism? Is the current CON Government, actually a Liberal Unionist one?  Wikipedia has a history of the Liberal Unionist Party:. The most well-known Liberal Unionist arguably was Joseph Chamberlain, father of Neville, and for 19 days leader of the Opposition in 1906 after Balfour lost his seat in Manchester as part of the disastrous Conservative election defeat. Conservatives have called themselves Unionist for a long period and indeed it was the official name until the 1970s but…

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By nearly four to one those who had a view on Jenrick think he should resign

By nearly four to one those who had a view on Jenrick think he should resign

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But 50% said don’t know The first thing about this YouGov polling is the large numbers of don’t knows – suggesting that what has been a huge issue in Westminster has not really cut through that much yet. But those who had a view, as can be seen were firmly of the view that he should quit as HousingSec. The Tory split should be a possible warning to the PM who has a long record of being reluctant to sack…

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With ten days to go before the July 4th lockdown easing the numbers continue to look good for the government

With ten days to go before the July 4th lockdown easing the numbers continue to look good for the government

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The above Tweet comes out every afternoon and as can seen the numbers are very much down and the hope must be that they will be a lot smaller on July 4th when the first round of changes come in. Note that the death total only refers to those who had been tested and proved positive. There is another group of people who died during the period without having previously been tested. The data for this segment tends to take…

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The lockdown is being eased from July 4th but the virus has not gone away

The lockdown is being eased from July 4th but the virus has not gone away

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Is this going to change the political trends? As expected the man who desperately needs a haircut, PM Johnson, has announced a range of measures that will ease the lockdown from a week on Saturday which will be exactly three months to the day since Keir Starmer became opposition leader. In that time the Tories lead has been slashed from 26% in two polls in April to the blue team being just four or five points ahead. Johnson’s personal ratings…

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Johnson’s big gamble – setting a time table for the lockdown regulations to be eased

Johnson’s big gamble – setting a time table for the lockdown regulations to be eased

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Lockdown bandit Cummings and his team have certainly been hard at work briefing the media on the changes in the lockdown regulations that are due to be announced by the Prime Minister in House of Commons today The papers, as can be seen above, are pretty positive and are giving the changes the big treatment because, clearly, any easing of the strict controls that people have been living under since March is massive news. This, of course, represents a big…

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