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The polling that shows that Boris is NOT the right UK leader to protect the union

The polling that shows that Boris is NOT the right UK leader to protect the union

Sturgeon has an astonishing net Ipsos MORI satisfaction lead over him of 107% The above polling chart is from Ipsos MORI’s last all Scotland poll which admittedly took place in October. I doubt very much whether the figures have changed much since and hopefully we’ll see its next all Scotland poll in February. We all remember Boris Johnson’s victorious night in December 2019 when he won a substantial Commons majority. That would have been even better for the party if…

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Sturgeon’s planned “go it alone” IndyRef2 poses problems for the bookies as well as Boris

Sturgeon’s planned “go it alone” IndyRef2 poses problems for the bookies as well as Boris

 Sturgeon’s statement yesterday that she intends to hold what she describes as a “legal referendum” on independence from the UK if she wins the Scottish elections scheduled for May certainly puts her on a collision course with Boris who opposes opposes another secession vote. All the signs from the polling suggest the SNP is on course for another big victory in the Scottish Parliament elections so the chances are that Sturgeon’s referendum plan could be a reality. Her argument is that…

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Is Biden going to honour his commitment to make Washington DC a state in its own right?

Is Biden going to honour his commitment to make Washington DC a state in its own right?

In the betting its an 80% chance that it won’t happen this year One of the policy commitments that all the Democratic primary challengers were pressed on last year was whether they supported the campaign to make Washington DC a state in its own right. Biden agreed. The main case is that the district has a larger population than two other states but lacks any voting members in Congress. Also its residents pay more in federal taxes than roughly 20…

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My 250/1 longshot for WH2024 showing a flair for publicity that could take him a long way

My 250/1 longshot for WH2024 showing a flair for publicity that could take him a long way

On the weekend after the presidential election in November I took a bet at 250/1 with Ladbrokes that Jon Ossoff would win the 2024 the next White House race. This was a wild longshot based on the impressions I had got of him during his campaign for the Senate seat in Georgia. It will be recalled that he had got close enough in November for it to be run off in January which turned out to be a gain for…

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On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20%

On Betfair the odds on Trump being convicted drop below 20%

Several developments on the Trump impeachment move which has already been backed by the House. This of course is the biggest current political betting market where the move has been further to Trump not being convicted by the necessary two thirds majority of Senators present when it comes to the vote. The GOP Senate leader, who has been highly critical of the ex-President, Mitch McConnell, is trying to put the timing of the hearing back to February which it is…

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Now the speculation is that Biden wants to be a two term president

Now the speculation is that Biden wants to be a two term president

Only a day after his inauguration and it might seem premature to start speculating on whether Joe Biden wants to run for the White House once again in 2024 but that is what’s happening. In an interview with Politico a senior Democratic Senator, Chris Coons from Biden’s home state of Delaware and close friend, said that the new President will run for re-election. He told Politico: “He is planning to run again. He knows that we are at the middle…

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New Ipsos MORI polling finds nearly half of Brits having favourable view of Biden

New Ipsos MORI polling finds nearly half of Brits having favourable view of Biden

The numbers are in sharp contrast to views of Trump In a new survey by Ipsos MORI, half of Britons (49%) are favourable towards the incoming President of the United States, Joe Biden, only 18% view him negatively. A similar proportion (47%) expect the USA to use its influence around the world mostly for good over the next four years under Biden’s presidency. The outgoing President, Donald Trump is not seen so positively. Perhaps unsurprising given the events of the…

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