Can anyone explain the mindset of anti-vaxxers like this?
This happened today about 12 miles from where I live. At the very minimum, the police should be involved.
There’s no need for a LAB-LD pact or progressive alliance
Their targets are totally different For all the talk of some sort of arrangement between LAB and the LDs the electoral reality is that both parties will broadly be targeting very different sorts of seats at the next election with very little overlap. Because of the need to focus resources on seats they think they can win it is highly likely that both parties will be running almost token campaigns elsewhere. Sure candidates will be on the ballot but there…
New betting market – A CON vote lead before Jan 31st?
This is the latest market from Smarkets and is almost directly in line with the “LAB poll lead in 2021” that was launched by the firm in July. That one proved a winner and one that contributed to making 2021 my most profitable ever. These are the market rules: This market relate to the headline, rounded percentage voting figures for UK or GB general election voting intention polls from the named pollsters. This market will be settled as a winner…
Poll suggests that the LAB lead would be just 3% with PM Sunak
But 12% sticking with Johnson With just the possibility of a Tory leadership election then we should expect more “named leader” polling as featured in the Guardian this morning. This, I should state, is a very controversial form of polling that is likely to come under fire from supporters of those Tory figures, including Johnson, who come out of this badly. As well as the normal voting intention question voters were asked Voters were asked: “Please imagine that at the…
Should we expect crossover in the next CON leader betting?
The latest CONHome survey gives her a big boost.
Counting the cost of trying to save Owen Paterson
Terrible MRP findings for Johnson from Survation New research and MRP analysis on voting behaviour and standards conducted on behalf of 38 Degrees by Survation in conjunction with Professor Christopher Hanretty of Royal Holloway University has found that the Conservative majority won in 2019 could disappear, should the current voting trend continue. The projections result in a hung Parliament, with Labour the largest party by a significant margin. Two MRP polls were carried out and the table above shows the…
The Johnson exit date betting gets very tight
As we move on from the holiday season the big political betting market is on when Johnson will no longer by PM. This goes up and down depending on the latest developments and all eyes will be on the PM as politics returns to normal after the holiday break. Essentially he need to re-build confidence in his leadership and to avoid some of the developments like his speech the the CBI that we saw earlier in December. But he’s far…
Voters continue to socially distance from BoJo & the Tories
In 2017 the difference between the Tories continuing in office or a rainbow alliance was the performance of the Scottish Tories, in 1992 John Major doesn’t win a majority without the Scottish Tories, Scotland is a very important part of the fabric of the Union, so in close elections pay even more attention to Scotland. The SNP will be happy with this poll, they are polling 3 points higher than they did in the 2019 general election, an astonishing performance…