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Category: Betting Call

Could this man be the next President of the United States?

Could this man be the next President of the United States?

Barack Obama – 3rd favourite for the Democratic nomination Over the past few months there has been growing speculation that Barack Obama, a Senator from Illinois, might be the Democrat contender for the White House. He came to prominence with a major speech at the party Convention in Boston last July and in recent weeks has become third favourite in the betting behind Hilary Clinton and John Edwards. The best price you can get is 8/1. But a better long-shot…

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Make money on a Labour vote slump in South Staffs?

Make money on a Labour vote slump in South Staffs?

Evens on 30% or less looks great value With less than a month to go before the electors of South Staffordshire get their chance to vote in the 2005 General Election more betting markets have now opened on the poll, incorrectly being described as a by-election, that had to be moved back from May 5th because of the death of the Liberal Democrat candidate. Even in the 2001 landslide the veteran Tory MP, Patrick Cormack, retained the seat with more…

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Could the Tony Blair show go on and on and…..?

Could the Tony Blair show go on and on and…..?

The markets think he’s going in 18 months – don’t believe it Judging by prices in the When will Blair go market the expectation is that Tony Blair will be handing over to Gordon Brown or AN Other within the next eighteen months. It’s just 2/1 against him making the change this year and 5/4 against him stepping down in 2006. You can get a massive 20/1 against Tony Blair still being Prime Minister on January 1st 2010. It’s the…

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Back Balls as a good value way of backing Brown

Back Balls as a good value way of backing Brown

Prepare for an early promotion for the former advisor Before Christmas we were saying that that the 5/1 then available against David Blunkett returning to the cabinet during 2005 was a great value way of betting on Labour to be top party. That proved to be a profitable punt. Now a similar bet is available on who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. For if Gordon Brown, now just 2/9 to become next Labour leader, does make it…

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How long will Tony Blair stay?

How long will Tony Blair stay?

After three victories and they call him a vote loser! Whatever your political allegiances it is hard not to feel a touch of sympathy for Tony Blair. After delivering his party’s third successive General Election victory the first thing he has to face when meeting his MPs again is dissent and calls for him to step down quickly. To have pulled of this triumph and to have seen off his fourth Tory leader is an incredible achievement – particularly against…

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Our bets are looking good

Our bets are looking good

From what we have seen so far it appears that just about all the bets we have tipped will end up as winners. We said bet on turnout at 60% or more – that is going to happen We said sell Labour vote share at the equivalent of 38.6% of the GB vote – that looks very good We said buy Lib Dem vote share at 20.5% – there should be a nice profit on that We said buy the…

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My betting

My betting

I’ve just bought the Lib Dems at 68 seats after getting some bullish reports from people I regard. I’ve not done what I would term a big bet but not a small bet either. It looks like a goodish punt at this price. Mike Smithson

Betting for and against the opinion polls

Betting for and against the opinion polls

Betting on votes – not seats With Labour’s victory being almost as big a certainty as Sunderland South being the first seat to declare there’s increasing interest in the party vote share markets where you do not have to factor in the complicated and varied considerations about how the seats will divide. And it is here that you can bet for or against the findings of specific opinion pollsters. If you think that YouGov are predicting this one best then…

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