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Category: Betting Call

Time to cut your losses on Cameron

Time to cut your losses on Cameron

Has the bubble finally burst for the young Etonian? If punters have got this right then the tide has turned in the Tory leadership race with the former Chancellor, Ken Clarke, establishing himself as the main challenger to the Shadow Home Secretary, David Davis. The chart showing implied probability based on best betting odds now has Clarke RED at levels never achieved by Cameron BLUE during the three months when he was the clear second favourite. The big loser from…

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Where does last week leave Gordon Brown’s ambitions?

Where does last week leave Gordon Brown’s ambitions?

When will Blair go? On the morning of May 6th the future for Gordon Brown looked relatively straightforward. He had been loyal to Tony Blair during the election campaign and within a relatively short time, a year to eighteen months, he would get his reward. The deal in the Granita restaurant all those years ago would soon be reality. This was certainly how the betting markets viewed it. In that first post General Election week you could have got just…

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How PB.C caused a top columnist to switch to Cameron

How PB.C caused a top columnist to switch to Cameron

Is the site influencing the events it covers? The cover story of this week’s Spectator is unashamedly based on the story and discussion here on June 9th when we looked at the impact of David Cameron’s Etonian background on the Tory leadership race. Good on the magazine for giving Politicalbetting full credit unlike many other parts of the media who pick up our stories. In the article Vicki Woods describes how she has moved from her original pro-Davis position and…

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Can Paris be stopped?

Can Paris be stopped?

Should punters follow lucky Tony? With barely 36 hours to go before the crucial meeting of the IOC begins in Singapore the price on London has tightened while that on Paris has eased on which city should host the 2012 Olympic Games. Yesterday at this time the best betting price you could have got on London was 15/4. Now that’s 3/1. Meanwhile Paris has eased from 2/9 to 2/7 – so the French capital is still the very firm favourite…

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Is this the man for the Tory party?

Is this the man for the Tory party?

The sentiment moves to Cameron After favourable press comment at the weekend and his emergence as the clear challenger to David Davis the money has been piling on David Cameron to be the next Tory leader. Since Friday the best bookmaker price on the young Etonian has tightened from 7/1 to 5/1 and the signs are that this will move further. In a flattering piece in the Sunday Times under the heading At last, a fanciable Tory Indira Knight writes…

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Is now the time to bet against Brown?

Is now the time to bet against Brown?

Is his “automatic succession” still a near certainty? Yesterday’s little Commons concession over the operation of Gordon Brown’s tax credit system is a timely reminder of what a dangerous a position the Chancellor of the Exchequer holds. For although he has had a fairly charmed life until now you cannot assume that things will continue to go well for the politician who gave up his chances of becoming Labour leader at that famous dinner at the Granita restaurant all those…

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Another good bet on South Staffordshire?

Another good bet on South Staffordshire?

Will UKIP eat into the Tory’s vote share? With just three days to go before the delayed South Staffordshire election it looks as though UKIP might do considerably better than if this election had taken place on May 5th when the rest of the UK was electing a Government. That consideration won’t apply on Thursday and it’s possible that we’ll see a big vote for UKIP which got 28% there in the Euro Elections. This could mean that there’s great…

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Will Thursday be bad for Labour in South Staffs?

Will Thursday be bad for Labour in South Staffs?

SkyBet stops taking money on Labour getting less than 30% Nearly a month ago we urged site users to make money on the postponed South Staffordshire election by betting that Labour would get less than 30% on June 23rd. At the time SkyBet were offering evens on this outcome which we felt was great value for money. Since then the price has tightened and tightened and reached 4/7 a week ago when Skybet suspended all betting on the party shares…

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