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Category: Article 50

Then what?

Then what?

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The tweet from @TeamSaj quoting what he said in the C4 debate has been deleted. But here is what he said. You can’t delete that. https://t.co/1L5iQgtjAv — Krishnan Guru-Murthy (@krishgm) August 29, 2019 When I was younger, I casually enjoyed those Choose-Your-Own-Adventure books. For those of you that were not nerdy male teenagers in the 1980s, these were books with non-linear structures where you were presented with a series of choices with page numbers.  You made your choice and you…

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When we are over the line, Brexit happens, then what?

When we are over the line, Brexit happens, then what?

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Cartoon from Marf Dramatic changes which might or might not have been planned for One of the (perhaps inevitable) side-effects of the focus on the day when Brexit is going to, finally, happen is a sense that this is a project that just needs getting over the line for it to be largely concluded. The government will have done what the voters ordered. Boris will have delivered. Hooray! We can all move on, cast our eyes westward and concentrate on…

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Why Revoke is now very much on the table

Why Revoke is now very much on the table

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May’s departure and a flight to the extremes aids stopping Brexit A zombie government will bring a zombie Withdrawal Agreement back to parliament next month, and in true zombie style, it will get bashed and still not really die. Ever since the first Meaningful Vote in January, when the government lost by well over 200 votes, Theresa May has been locked in a political vice where she couldn’t countenance No Deal, couldn’t accept No Brexit but couldn’t deliver any Brexit…

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Trick or Treat? Reports that Brexit day moved to Halloween as the French surrender

Trick or Treat? Reports that Brexit day moved to Halloween as the French surrender

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BREAKING: EU leaders have agreed a delay to Brexit until 31 October, with a review in June, according to EU diplomats. Follow live updates here: https://t.co/iRW5ZC1LSF — Alan McGuinness (@Alan_McGuinness) April 10, 2019 Earlier on this evening it looked like the French were going to ensure a No Deal Brexit on Friday but the rest of the EU bypassed them like the Germans bypassed the Maginot Line in 1940. https://t.co/Y2xCxlceG4 — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 10, 2019 Per EU source. France…

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Not before 2022 or not at all now betting favourite for when Brexit happens

Not before 2022 or not at all now betting favourite for when Brexit happens

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange After another day of Brexit developments punters on the Betfair exchange now make 2022 or not all all the favourite as to when Brexit will happen. The chart shows the movements over the past months. But, as can be seen, the second half of 2019 is close behind. The actual rules of the market are: “For the purposes of this market leaving the EU is defined as the date when the treaties…

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Divided they fall. Alastair Meeks on the European elections

Divided they fall. Alastair Meeks on the European elections

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The 2019 Euro elections – not a contest I thought was going to require a British perspective. Yet here we are, taking at least one more curtain call. Last time Britain elected MEPs in the following numbers: UKIP 24 Labour 20 Conservatives 19 Green 3 SNP 2 Lib Dems 1 Plaid Cymru 1 DUP 1 Sinn Fein 1 UUP 1 UKIP tallied 26.6% of the vote to take first place on a turnout of just under 36%. It should be…

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Cooper-Letwin, forcing Article 50 to be delayed, is enacted and adds to the constraints on TMay

Cooper-Letwin, forcing Article 50 to be delayed, is enacted and adds to the constraints on TMay

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The backbench bill that went through in three days Overnight the Queen signed what’s become known as the Cooper-Letwin measures thus making it now the law that TMay cannot take the UK out of the EU without a deal. The terms of the extension have to be agreed with Brussels. On Saturday David Herdson argued here that this measure has “probably killed Brexit”. With one more deadline, April 12th, now looming TMay is once again off on her travels trying…

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D’Hondt You Want MEPs? Who will win the most European Parliament seats in the United Kingdom?

D’Hondt You Want MEPs? Who will win the most European Parliament seats in the United Kingdom?

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This market by Ladbrokes is very intriguing, because as if seems likely, the UK takes part in the European elections there’s going to be quite a few betting opportunities. I don’t think Labour or the Tories should be the favourite for this market, the latest poll from YouGov shows why the Tories and Labour aren’t really loved and led by unloved leaders. The don’t know/won’t say alliance now has more support than the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition…

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