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Category: Article 50

PB/Polling Matters podcast on Brexit, Article 50 polling, Scotland and the return of GfK

PB/Polling Matters podcast on Brexit, Article 50 polling, Scotland and the return of GfK

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After a momentous day in British politics, Keiran and Rob discuss public opinion on Brexit and  Keiran looks at Scotland’s future with Ipsos Mori Scotland Research Director Mark Diffley. Finally, Keiran talks more about the new GfK political polling that has Corbyn’s approval rating among Brits being as weak as Donald Trump’s. More on that polling (including methodology and data tables here). The segment on Scotland dominates this week’s episode and is a particularly wide ranging discussion including new information on…

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I’d feel a lot more comfortable about the Brexit negotiations if Osborne was playing a key role

I’d feel a lot more comfortable about the Brexit negotiations if Osborne was playing a key role

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Beside him May & her team are political pygmies The swift way in which Angela Merkel has undermined Theresa May’s Article 50 invocation plan underlines how critical it is that Team GB has the very best team in the coming two years. That the German Chancellor should so attack May’s Brexit negotiation plan within four hours shows how much she needs a highly skilled political team at her side. A politically astute PM, advised by a politically competent Foreign Secretary,…

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For the record where BREXIT opinion stood on Article 50 day

For the record where BREXIT opinion stood on Article 50 day

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YouGov’s tracker continues to show little movement Brexit opinion – the party supporter splits Brexit view by socio-economic grouping It’s top of the Issues Index as well BREXIT the top issue concerning the country in latest @IpsosMORI Issues index pic.twitter.com/68lmErZt7W — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2017

Welcome to Article 50 day as the UK steps into the unknown

Welcome to Article 50 day as the UK steps into the unknown

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https://twitter.com/JananGanesh/status/846863305218183169 https://twitter.com/youngvulgarian/status/846830241075093504 The big day arrives So we are here and Theresa May will meet her self imposed target of formally invoking the extraction process from the EU before the end of March. The signed letter invoking Article 50 will be delivered to the president of the EU in Brussels in a few hours. At home Mrs May is said to be planning to call on the nation to unite behind her and the government as it goes about the…

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New poll finds increasing support for a second referendum with 66% of REMAIN voters now wanting one

New poll finds increasing support for a second referendum with 66% of REMAIN voters now wanting one

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Via @JamesPurefoy a pic from the anti-BREXIT march and a reminder to put your clocks forward tonight pic.twitter.com/FbAkXAIccA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 25, 2017 But overall most of those sampled continue to be against Keiran Pedley looks at new poll numbers from the Polling Matters / Opinium series ahead of the Prime Minister invoking Article 50 this week. Listeners to this week’s (revamped) PB/Polling Matters podcast (see below) will know that we have a new survey out this week….

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Article 50 will be invoked next week with the country still totally split over whether it is the right thing to do

Article 50 will be invoked next week with the country still totally split over whether it is the right thing to do

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The YouGov tracker is not shifting either way If the Prime Minister was hoping that the ending of the parliamentary approval process for Article 50 would swing opinion more behind the move then she is going to be disappointed. The latest YouGov tracker came out shortly before the Westminster terror attack and as can be seen in the chart the country is still totally divided on whether it is a good thing or a bad thing. There’s been very little…

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Blindsided. Leavers have given the PM a free rein over the Article 50 negotiations and they’ll come to regret it

Blindsided. Leavers have given the PM a free rein over the Article 50 negotiations and they’ll come to regret it

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Embed from Getty Images From now on Theresa May can ignore Parliament Theresa May has striven mightily at every stage to avoid Parliamentary restraint on her Brexit negotiations with the rest of the EU.  She fought in the courts to the bitter end against the principle that the triggering of Article 50 required the prior approval from Parliament.  A White Paper was extracted out of the government in a manner akin to that used by Lord Olivier in Marathon Man. …

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As we edge towards the enactment of the A50 Bill Nicola has just made Theresa’s task harder

As we edge towards the enactment of the A50 Bill Nicola has just made Theresa’s task harder

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The political price of hard brexit could be a smaller UK TMay’s reaction to Sturgeon’s InyRef2 announcement was that the Scottish FM and SNP leader was “playing politics” – a term I generally conclude to mean that what’s been said has been highly effective. Certainly the suggestions that TMay might defer invoking A50 until the end of the month suggests there’s a need to look again at her strategy and the rhetoric she will deploy when the formal process of…

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