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Trump’s approval ratings drop to new low with women voters moving most against him

Trump’s approval ratings drop to new low with women voters moving most against him

Bad news for the President from the pollster that got Tuesday most right There’s a new US national poll just out from Monmouth University – the organisation which did best forecasting this week’s Alabama senate election. Its final survey there had it as a tie which was closest to the outcome. Monmouth uses traditional live phone interviews and calls mobiles as landlines. It finds that Trump’s current job rating now stands at 32% approve and 56% disapprove. This marks his…

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Bookies holding back payment to Alabama punters because the result was tight and there could be a recount

Bookies holding back payment to Alabama punters because the result was tight and there could be a recount

Roy Moore refuses to concede, says "we also know that God is in control" https://t.co/1sJSZehJKH https://t.co/IXqp0xvnhB — CNN (@CNN) December 13, 2017 Those punters who backed the Democrats in the Alabama senate race are probably going to have to wait for their winnings. The losing candidate, Roy Moore, has refused to accept the result and it looks as though there might well be a recount. See his comment to supporters in the CNN clip above. I actually think the bookies…

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Huge blow for Trump as GOP loses the Alabama Senate election on a hugely exciting betting night

Huge blow for Trump as GOP loses the Alabama Senate election on a hugely exciting betting night

The chart above is from Betdata.io and shows the dramatic changes in the Betfair price. As was widely predicted this was amazingly tight with the markets changing all the time as more information came in. What was particularly good was a New York Times model that was looking at the demographics of each polling area and impacting on the overall outcome as the information came in. This turned out to be highly predictive and those who followed that for their…

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The great Alabama polling Gamble. Robo calls v human interviewers

The great Alabama polling Gamble. Robo calls v human interviewers

RCP Above is the latest polling table from Real Clear Politics with surveys on today’s special senate race in Alabama where the Republican candidate is Roy Moore – the man who has been accused of sexual abuse against girls as young as 14. As can be seen the surveys give a totally mixed view of what is likely to happen ranging from Moore 9% ahead to the astonishing Fox News poll that came out yesterday afternoon with a Democrat lead…

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With speculation that Michael Flynn is cooperating with Robert Mueller punters think Trump won’t serve a full term

With speculation that Michael Flynn is cooperating with Robert Mueller punters think Trump won’t serve a full term

This has the potential to be so much fun. 'A Split From Trump Indicates That Flynn Is Moving to Cooperate With Mueller.' https://t.co/gIpUfeW6An — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 24, 2017 Despite the Flynn speculation I won’t resile from my position that Trump will serve a full term because the Democrats won’t be close to having the two thirds vote to successful convict a President following impeachment. Plus the Republicans will only vote to convict in sufficient numbers if Trump is caught in…

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Astonishingly Roy Moore remains the odds on favourite to win the Alabama Senate race

Astonishingly Roy Moore remains the odds on favourite to win the Alabama Senate race

Latest Alabama polls have Roy Moore leading by 6% and 2%. https://t.co/DuVvdOjH4U — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 23, 2017 Alabama pastor: Roy Moore dated "younger ladies" because of their "purity" https://t.co/nEzLgpeMC9 pic.twitter.com/w87Cixl7Gp — The Hill (@thehill) November 21, 2017 Crikey. 'If it was my daughter, I'd break his face': Republican lawmaker and former Navy SEAL unleashes on Roy Moore. https://t.co/z296rHJNKs — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 23, 2017 Whilst most of the GOP are fleeing Roy Moore the way you avoid an ex…

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Memo to Christian, family values, anti LGBT politicians, don’t cheat on your wife with another man

Memo to Christian, family values, anti LGBT politicians, don’t cheat on your wife with another man

Oh my. https://t.co/rTF688sWuu pic.twitter.com/CfUiz821qW — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 19, 2017 The Independent reports An Ohio lawmaker who routinely touted his Christian faith and anti-LGBT views has resigned after being caught having sex with a man in his office. Wes Goodman, who is the Republican state legislator for Ohio, is married to a woman who is assistant director of an annual anti-abortion rally known as March for Life. The right-wing legislator, who pushed “family values”, was reportedly witnessed having sex with…

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